Aluminij vs NK Primorje: match statistics
Aluminij vs NK Primorje: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aluminij played NK Primorje in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Aluminij: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. NK Primorje: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aluminij scores 1.31 and concedes 1.81 goals per match. NK Primorje scores 0.97 and concedes 2.19. League average: 3.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aluminij 72%, NK Primorje 53%. Over 2.5: Aluminij 72%, NK Primorje 63%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
NK Primorje has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.29. Aluminij: 9.4 shots per match, NK Primorje: 10.5.
Match halves
Aluminij: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.88. NK Primorje: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Aluminij: 76-90+ (17 goals). NK Primorje: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
PrvaLiga: 3.09 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aluminij holds a clear statistical advantage: at home they average 1.38 goals per game and have scored 42 goals this season, while NK Primorje averages only 0.56 goals on the road and has 31 goals this season. Defensively the hosts concede 1.75 goals per home match on average, whereas the visitors concede 2.5 goals away; in the last 5 fixtures Aluminij has conceded 7 goals, while Primorje has conceded as many as 12. Recent form over the last 5 matches also favors the hosts: Aluminij have won 2 of their last 5 (0 draws, 3 losses) and average 1.2 points per game in that period, while Primorje have lost all 5 matches and have 0 points. Quality of chances indicates an Aluminij advantage — they average 4.06 shots on target per match with a 14% conversion rate versus 3.31 shots on target and a 6% conversion for Primorje; xG is similar (1.34 vs 1.31), suggesting the difference comes down to finishing. Considering higher efficiency (14% vs 6%), lower average goals conceded at home (1.75 vs 2.5), the visitors’ lack of away wins (0 wins, 88% away defeats) and their poor run of 5 straight losses, I predict an Aluminij victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Although seasonal BTTS rates are moderately high (Aluminij 56%, Primorje 50%, league average 59%), recent form argues against both teams scoring. Aluminij has 0% BTTS in the last 5 matches, scoring just 2 and conceding 7 (0.4 scored and 1.4 conceded per match), indicating a dramatic offensive drop. Primorje averages only 0.56 goals this season with xG 1.31 and a 6% shot conversion, and in the last 5 matches they average 0.6 goals and 40% BTTS — creating chances but failing to convert. Both teams concede easily (Aluminij 1.88 and Primorje 2.5 per season) and have low clean sheet percentages (13% and 6%), factors that normally boost BTTS, however Primorje’s dominant inefficiency and Aluminij’s zero BTTS in 5 games prevail. Therefore I forecast a higher probability for 'No' (60%) versus 'Yes' (40%) as the best pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Aluminij averages 1.38 goals scored and concedes 1.88 per match, while NK Primorje scores 0.56 and concedes 2.50; season Over 1.5 rates are 94% for the home side and 88% for the visitors, which strongly signals at least 2 goals. Based on xG: Aluminij has xG 1.57 and the opponent allows on average 1.70 xG, yielding an expected ~1.64 goals for the home team; Primorje has xG 1.31 and Aluminij concedes 1.60 xG giving ~1.45 for the visitors; total ≈3.09 expected goals. Additionally both teams rarely keep clean sheets (13% and 6%) and BTTS is 56%/50%, while the league averages 3.09 goals per match, all supporting the Over. However, in the last 5 matches both teams have scored poorly (home 0.4 GpM, away 0.6) and the visitors have conceded a lot (12 goals in 5 matches), so I assess Over 2.5 as moderately likely (~62%) and Over 3.5 as less certain (~39%). The strongest and safest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (around 92%), hence the recommendation to play Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The hosts appear to be the favorites for the final victory: their season win share is 38% compared to 0% for NK Primorje, and the hosts’ xG is 1.57 versus 1.31 for the visitors, indicating an edge in chance creation. By half-time the hosts average 0.50 goals versus 0.25 for the away side, and the hosts led at the break in 6 matches (38%) compared to just 1 match (6%) for the visitors, so a lead at the break for the hosts is more likely. Additionally, the hosts average 4.44 shots on target versus 3.31 for the visitors and have a conversion rate of 12% compared to 6% for the visitors, which increases the likelihood of maintaining the lead. The hosts also score an average of 0.88 goals in second halves and collect 1.06 points in second halves, while the visitors are in poor form (last 5 matches: 0 wins), so the Half-Time/Full-Time scenario of the hosts leading at the break and winning the match is the strongest outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aluminij | NK Primorje | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aluminij is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - Aluminij · 0.97 goals / match - NK Primorje
Aluminij is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.81 goals / match - Aluminij · 2.19 goals / match - NK Primorje
Aluminij scores in 81% of matches (26 of 32 matches), while NK Primorje keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 32 matches).
NK Primorje scores in 59% of matches (19 of 32 matches), while Aluminij keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aluminij
Over / Under - NK Primorje
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aluminij is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / match - Aluminij · 0.81 pts / match - NK Primorje
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aluminij - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
NK Primorje - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 19%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aluminij
NK Primorje
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Aluminij | Liga | NK Primorje | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.13 | 3.09 | • 3.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 59% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 72% | 65% | ▼ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 23% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 81% | 86% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 80% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Aluminij 0 - 1 - 2 NK Primorje. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aluminij vs NK Primorje?
The PrvaLiga match finished Aluminij 0:0 NK Primorje. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aluminij and NK Primorje?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Aluminij won 0, NK Primorje won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aluminij vs NK Primorje?
Aluminij score 1.31 goals per game on average and NK Primorje 0.97. The PrvaLiga average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 72% of Aluminij's matches and 53% of NK Primorje's.
What form are Aluminij and NK Primorje in?
Over the last 5 games Aluminij have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and NK Primorje 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aluminij vs NK Primorje?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Aluminij vs NK Primorje: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.