Aluminij vs Olimpija: match statistics
Olimpija presents significantly better form in the last five matches with a record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, while Aluminij has won only 2 of their last 5 games. A key factor is Olimpija's positive goal difference away (+4) compared to Aluminij's negative record at home (-3). The guests possess a higher average possession (53% vs 48%) and a better xG ratio away (1.68 vs 1.45 xG for the hosts). Olimpija is also more effective defensively away, conceding an average of only 1 goal per match, while Aluminij concedes an average of 1.78 goals at home. All these statistics indicate an advantage for the visitors, although the unpredictability of Aluminij's home matches (44% losses, but also moments of effectiveness) leaves some room for surprises, justifying moderate probabilities for the hosts and a draw.
Aluminij vs Olimpija: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aluminij played Olimpija in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The match was played on 5 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Aluminij: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Olimpija: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aluminij scores 1.47 and concedes 1.79 goals per match. Olimpija scores 1.26 and concedes 1.21. League average: 3.14 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aluminij 79%, Olimpija 53%. Over 2.5: Aluminij 74%, Olimpija 47%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Olimpija has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.35. Aluminij: 9.9 shots per match, Olimpija: 11.4.
Match halves
Aluminij: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.95. Olimpija: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Aluminij: 76-90+ (13 goals). Olimpija: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
PrvaLiga: 3.14 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Olimpija presents significantly better form in the last five matches with a record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, while Aluminij has won only 2 of their last 5 games. A key factor is Olimpija's positive goal difference away (+4) compared to Aluminij's negative record at home (-3). The guests possess a higher average possession (53% vs 48%) and a better xG ratio away (1.68 vs 1.45 xG for the hosts). Olimpija is also more effective defensively away, conceding an average of only 1 goal per match, while Aluminij concedes an average of 1.78 goals at home. All these statistics indicate an advantage for the visitors, although the unpredictability of Aluminij's home matches (44% losses, but also moments of effectiveness) leaves some room for surprises, justifying moderate probabilities for the hosts and a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aluminij | Olimpija | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Olimpija is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Aluminij · 2 pts / match - Olimpija
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aluminij is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Aluminij · 1.26 goals / match - Olimpija
Olimpija is 48% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.79 goals / match - Aluminij · 1.21 goals / match - Olimpija
Aluminij scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Olimpija keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
Olimpija scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Aluminij keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aluminij
Over / Under - Olimpija
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Olimpija is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Aluminij · 1.84 pts / match - Olimpija
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aluminij - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Olimpija - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 42%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aluminij
Olimpija
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Aluminij | Liga | Olimpija | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.26 | 3.14 | ▼ 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 79% | 62% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 74% | 64% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 21% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | • 84% | 85% | ▼ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 80% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Aluminij 0 - 1 - 1 Olimpija. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aluminij vs Olimpija?
The PrvaLiga match finished Aluminij 1:2 Olimpija. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aluminij and Olimpija?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Aluminij won 0, Olimpija won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aluminij vs Olimpija?
Aluminij score 1.47 goals per game on average and Olimpija 1.26. The PrvaLiga average is 3.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 79% of Aluminij's matches and 53% of Olimpija's.
What form are Aluminij and Olimpija in?
Over the last 5 games Aluminij have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Olimpija 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aluminij vs Olimpija?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Aluminij vs Olimpija: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.