Aluminium Arak vs Paykan: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a tightly contested match between two lower-table teams. Aluminium Arak holds a slight advantage as the home side with a 30% home win rate and better recent form (1.2 PPG vs 0.8 PPG for the visitors), however their offense is very weak - only 0.6 goals per home game and 50% of matches without scoring. Paykan shows better attacking numbers away (0.7 goals per game, higher xG 1.21 vs 0.96), but their away form is poor with 50% losses and recent results showing only 1 point in the last 5 matches. Both teams have defensive issues, but low finishing efficiency, which suggests a low tempo of play and a likely draw. The xG statistics are similar, and both teams' goal difference indicates a defensive approach, further supporting a share of the points.
Aluminium Arak vs Paykan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aluminium Arak played Paykan in Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran). The match was played on 20 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Aluminium Arak: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Paykan: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aluminium Arak scores 0.62 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Paykan scores 0.67 and concedes 0.95. League average: 1.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aluminium Arak 29%, Paykan 29%. Over 2.5: Aluminium Arak 19%, Paykan 19%. League level: BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Paykan has higher xG: 1.14 vs 0.91. Aluminium Arak: 2.1 shots per match, Paykan: 4.1.
Match halves
Aluminium Arak: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.24. Paykan: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.24.
Goals by minute
Aluminium Arak: 31-45+ (5 goals). Paykan: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Persian Gulf Pro League: 1.77 goals per match, BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a tightly contested match between two lower-table teams. Aluminium Arak holds a slight advantage as the home side with a 30% home win rate and better recent form (1.2 PPG vs 0.8 PPG for the visitors), however their offense is very weak - only 0.6 goals per home game and 50% of matches without scoring. Paykan shows better attacking numbers away (0.7 goals per game, higher xG 1.21 vs 0.96), but their away form is poor with 50% losses and recent results showing only 1 point in the last 5 matches. Both teams have defensive issues, but low finishing efficiency, which suggests a low tempo of play and a likely draw. The xG statistics are similar, and both teams' goal difference indicates a defensive approach, further supporting a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aluminium Arak | Paykan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 18% | 23% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.43 | 0.28 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 1.63 | 0.71 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aluminium Arak is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Aluminium Arak · 0.8 pts / match - Paykan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paykan is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
0.62 goals / match - Aluminium Arak · 0.67 goals / match - Paykan
Aluminium Arak scores in 52% of matches (11 of 21 matches), while Paykan keeps a clean sheet in 38% (8 of 21 matches).
Paykan scores in 52% of matches (11 of 21 matches), while Aluminium Arak keeps a clean sheet in 38% (8 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aluminium Arak
Over / Under - Paykan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paykan is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / match - Aluminium Arak · 1.29 pts / match - Paykan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aluminium Arak - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Paykan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aluminium Arak
Paykan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Persian Gulf Pro League).
Teams vs league
| Aluminium Arak | Liga | Paykan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.57 | 1.77 | ▼ 1.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 37% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 19% | 27% | ▼ 19% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 38% | 42% | ▼ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 48% | 53% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | • 62% | 62% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Aluminium Arak 1 - 0 - 0 Paykan. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aluminium Arak vs Paykan?
The Persian Gulf Pro League match finished Aluminium Arak 1:1 Paykan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Aluminium Arak vs Paykan?
Aluminium Arak score 0.62 goals per game on average and Paykan 0.67. The Persian Gulf Pro League average is 1.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Aluminium Arak's matches and 29% of Paykan's.
What form are Aluminium Arak and Paykan in?
Over the last 5 games Aluminium Arak have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Paykan 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aluminium Arak vs Paykan?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Aluminium Arak vs Paykan: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.