Alverca vs CD Nacional: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Alverca played CD Nacional in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 7 December 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Alverca: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. CD Nacional: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Alverca scores 1.17 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. CD Nacional scores 1.00 and concedes 1.42. League average: 2.69 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Alverca 50%, CD Nacional 58%. Over 2.5: Alverca 58%, CD Nacional 33%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

CD Nacional has higher xG: 1.21 vs 1.13. Alverca: 9.4 shots per match, CD Nacional: 10.8.

Match halves

Alverca: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.58. CD Nacional: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.42.

Goals by minute

Alverca: 31-45+ (6 goals). CD Nacional: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga Portugal: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
AlvercaCD Nacional
10Shots17
AlvercaCD Nacional
4Shots on target3
AlvercaCD Nacional
1.17xG1.7
AlvercaCD Nacional
2Corners2
AlvercaCD Nacional
35Dangerous attacks57
AlvercaCD Nacional
10Fouls19
AlvercaCD Nacional
1Cards1
AlvercaCD Nacional

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.17Goals scored / match1
AlvercaCD Nacional
1.58Goals conceded / match1.42
AlvercaCD Nacional
46%Average possession42%
AlvercaCD Nacional
3.58Shots on target / match3.75
AlvercaCD Nacional

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.42Shots per match10.83
AlvercaCD Nacional
3.58Shots on target3.75
AlvercaCD Nacional
12.4%Shot conversion9.2%
AlvercaCD Nacional
46%Possession42%
AlvercaCD Nacional
1.13xG for1.21
AlvercaCD Nacional
1.46xG against1.64
AlvercaCD Nacional

Shooting quality

Alverca: Counter-attackingCD Nacional: Balanced
AlvercaCD Nacional
Accuracy (shots on target)38%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Alverca is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Alverca · 1 pts / match - CD Nacional

Alverca
WLLDW
Season result split
33% W17% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-6
1.17 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-3
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
CD Nacional
WDLDL
Season result split
25% W25% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-6
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-1
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WLWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.82BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Alverca is 17% better for: goals scored per match.

1.17 goals / match - Alverca · 1 goals / match - CD Nacional

CD Nacional is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.58 goals / match - Alverca · 1.42 goals / match - CD Nacional

Alverca scoring profile: very strong

Alverca scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while CD Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).

CD Nacional scoring profile: very strong

CD Nacional scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Alverca keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).

14Goals scored (season)12
AlvercaCD Nacional
19Goals conceded (season)17
AlvercaCD Nacional
2.75Average goals in match2.42
AlvercaCD Nacional
6Goals scored (last 5)6
AlvercaCD Nacional
8Goals conceded (last 5)7
AlvercaCD Nacional

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal75%
AlvercaCD Nacional
33%2 goals17%
AlvercaCD Nacional
8%3 goals8%
AlvercaCD Nacional
0%4 goals0%
AlvercaCD Nacional

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal83%
AlvercaCD Nacional
58%2 goals42%
AlvercaCD Nacional
17%3 goals8%
AlvercaCD Nacional
8%4 goals8%
AlvercaCD Nacional

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time8%
AlvercaCD Nacional
0%BTTS in both halves8%
AlvercaCD Nacional
17%Scored in both halves8%
AlvercaCD Nacional

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
AlvercaCD Nacional
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
AlvercaCD Nacional
40%BTTS - last 580%
AlvercaCD Nacional

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
AlvercaCD Nacional
58%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
AlvercaCD Nacional
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
AlvercaCD Nacional

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time58%
AlvercaCD Nacional
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
AlvercaCD Nacional
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
AlvercaCD Nacional

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

CD Nacional is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.17 pts / match - Alverca · 1.5 pts / match - CD Nacional

Alverca - half-time state
25% leading42% draw33% trailing
CD Nacional - half-time state
42% leading25% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.17Points per match (1st half)1.5
AlvercaCD Nacional
0.58Goals scored (1st half)0.58
AlvercaCD Nacional
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
AlvercaCD Nacional
1.58Average goals (1st half)1.08
AlvercaCD Nacional
33%Clean sheet before half-time58%
AlvercaCD Nacional
50%No goal before half-time50%
AlvercaCD Nacional

After half-time (2nd half)

1.42Points per match (2nd half)0.92
AlvercaCD Nacional
0.58Goals scored (2nd half)0.42
AlvercaCD Nacional
0.58Goals conceded (2nd half)0.92
AlvercaCD Nacional
1.17Average goals (2nd half)1.33
AlvercaCD Nacional
58%Clean sheet after half-time50%
AlvercaCD Nacional
58%No goal after half-time67%
AlvercaCD Nacional

Alverca - second-half results

42% W17% R42% P
14
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

CD Nacional - second-half results

17% W42% R42% P
18
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding60%

Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Alverca - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.80
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
CD Nacional - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.80
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Alverca
ScoredConceded
0
6
0-15
1
1
16-30
6
5
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
4
61-75
6
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

CD Nacional
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
1
0
16-30
4
4
31-45
2
3
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.58
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Alverca

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
120%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

CD Nacional

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
76%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).

Teams vs league

AlvercaLigaCD Nacional
Average goals in match 2.752.69 2.42
Both teams scored 50%46% 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 58%52% 33%
Clean sheets 25%29% 17%
Goal before half-time 83%77% 83%
Goal after half-time 83%75% 58%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.69
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals / match
1.32
Away goals / match
+4%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+-4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. CD NacionalSubstitutionOn: Miguel Baeza PérezOff: Chiheb Abidi
  2. CD NacionalSubstitutionOn: Witiness Chimoio João QuemboOff: Mootaz Nourani
  3. AlvercaYellow cardNabili Zoubdi Touaizi
  4. CD NacionalSubstitutionOn: Deivison Souza BritoOff: Matheus dos Santos Dias
  5. CD NacionalYellow cardDeivison Souza Brito

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Alverca vs CD Nacional?

The Liga NOS match finished Alverca 1:0 CD Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Alverca vs CD Nacional?

Alverca score 1.17 goals per game on average and CD Nacional 1.00. The Liga NOS average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Alverca's matches and 58% of CD Nacional's.

What form are Alverca and CD Nacional in?

Over the last 5 games Alverca have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and CD Nacional 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Alverca vs CD Nacional?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Alverca vs CD Nacional: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.