Alverca vs Famalicão: match statistics
Famalicão displays significantly better away form with a 43% win rate and a +2 goal difference, whereas Alverca concedes an average of 1.63 goals in home matches and holds a negative balance of -7. The hosts have won just 38% of their home games and lost 50%, confirming their weakness on their own turf. Famalicão is characterized by higher average possession (51% vs 47%), better shot conversion (8% vs 7%), and higher average xG (1.48 vs 1.28). Additionally, the visitors keep a clean sheet in 43% of away matches, indicating a solid defense. Despite the weaker recent form of both teams (Alverca 1.2 PPG, Famalicão 0.6 PPG in the last 5 matches), Famalicão's qualitative and statistical advantage supports a victory for them, although a battle for a draw cannot be ruled out.
Alverca vs Famalicão: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Alverca played Famalicão in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 4 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Alverca: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Famalicão: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Alverca scores 1.00 and concedes 1.69 goals per match. Famalicão scores 1.25 and concedes 0.81. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Alverca 44%, Famalicão 38%. Over 2.5: Alverca 56%, Famalicão 38%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Famalicão has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.11. Alverca: 9.2 shots per match, Famalicão: 13.6.
Match halves
Alverca: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.56. Famalicão: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Alverca: 76-90+ (7 goals). Famalicão: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Famalicão displays significantly better away form with a 43% win rate and a +2 goal difference, whereas Alverca concedes an average of 1.63 goals in home matches and holds a negative balance of -7. The hosts have won just 38% of their home games and lost 50%, confirming their weakness on their own turf. Famalicão is characterized by higher average possession (51% vs 47%), better shot conversion (8% vs 7%), and higher average xG (1.48 vs 1.28). Additionally, the visitors keep a clean sheet in 43% of away matches, indicating a solid defense. Despite the weaker recent form of both teams (Alverca 1.2 PPG, Famalicão 0.6 PPG in the last 5 matches), Famalicão's qualitative and statistical advantage supports a victory for them, although a battle for a draw cannot be ruled out.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Alverca | Famalicão | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Alverca is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Alverca · 0.8 pts / match - Famalicão
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Famalicão is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Alverca · 1.25 goals / match - Famalicão
Famalicão is 109% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.69 goals / match - Alverca · 0.81 goals / match - Famalicão
Alverca scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Famalicão keeps a clean sheet in 50% (8 of 16 matches).
Famalicão scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Alverca keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Alverca
Over / Under - Famalicão
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Famalicão is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Alverca · 1.5 pts / match - Famalicão
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Alverca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Famalicão - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Alverca
Famalicão
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Alverca | Liga | Famalicão | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.69 | 2.73 | ▼ 2.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 47% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 53% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 30% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 74% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 76% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Alverca vs Famalicão?
The Liga NOS match finished Alverca 1:0 Famalicão. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Alverca vs Famalicão?
Alverca score 1.00 goals per game on average and Famalicão 1.25. The Liga NOS average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Alverca's matches and 38% of Famalicão's.
What form are Alverca and Famalicão in?
Over the last 5 games Alverca have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Famalicão 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Alverca vs Famalicão?
The statistical background for Alverca vs Famalicão — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.