Amagaju vs AS Kigali: match statistics
AS Kigali displays clearly better form than Amagaju, as confirmed by the points per match in the last 5 games (1.4 vs 0.4). The hosts are in 17th place in the table and have not won any home matches this season (0% effectiveness), with a catastrophic goal difference of -8 in home matches. AS Kigali demonstrates significantly better offensive effectiveness away from home (0.9 goals per match vs 0.33 for the hosts at home) and better shot conversion (12% vs 6%). Additionally, the visitors have a positive streak with two wins in the last three matches, while Amagaju has lost 3 out of the last 5 games. The technical and mental advantage of AS Kigali and the terrible form of the hosts point to an away win, although the poor effectiveness of both teams does not rule out a draw.
Amagaju vs AS Kigali: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Amagaju played AS Kigali in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Amagaju: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. AS Kigali: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Amagaju scores 0.42 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. AS Kigali scores 0.65 and concedes 1.10. League average: 2.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Amagaju 26%, AS Kigali 35%. Over 2.5: Amagaju 16%, AS Kigali 25%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
AS Kigali has higher xG: 1.27 vs 0.87. Amagaju: 4.7 shots per match, AS Kigali: 7.8.
Match halves
Amagaju: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.21. AS Kigali: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Amagaju: 16-30 (2 goals). AS Kigali: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.05 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AS Kigali displays clearly better form than Amagaju, as confirmed by the points per match in the last 5 games (1.4 vs 0.4). The hosts are in 17th place in the table and have not won any home matches this season (0% effectiveness), with a catastrophic goal difference of -8 in home matches. AS Kigali demonstrates significantly better offensive effectiveness away from home (0.9 goals per match vs 0.33 for the hosts at home) and better shot conversion (12% vs 6%). Additionally, the visitors have a positive streak with two wins in the last three matches, while Amagaju has lost 3 out of the last 5 games. The technical and mental advantage of AS Kigali and the terrible form of the hosts point to an away win, although the poor effectiveness of both teams does not rule out a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Amagaju | AS Kigali | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AS Kigali is 250% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Amagaju · 1.4 pts / match - AS Kigali
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AS Kigali is 55% better for: goals scored per match.
0.42 goals / match - Amagaju · 0.65 goals / match - AS Kigali
AS Kigali is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - Amagaju · 1.1 goals / match - AS Kigali
Amagaju scores in 37% of matches (7 of 19 matches), while AS Kigali keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
AS Kigali scores in 55% of matches (11 of 20 matches), while Amagaju keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Amagaju
Over / Under - AS Kigali
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Amagaju is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.84 pts / match - Amagaju · 0.65 pts / match - AS Kigali
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Amagaju - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 16%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
AS Kigali - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Amagaju
AS Kigali
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Amagaju | Liga | AS Kigali | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.74 | 2.05 | ▼ 1.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 26% | 42% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 16% | 34% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 35% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 63% | ▼ 45% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 58% | 68% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Amagaju 1 - 0 - 0 AS Kigali. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Amagaju vs AS Kigali?
The National Soccer League match finished Amagaju 0:2 AS Kigali. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Amagaju vs AS Kigali?
Amagaju score 0.42 goals per game on average and AS Kigali 0.65. The National Soccer League average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 26% of Amagaju's matches and 35% of AS Kigali's.
What form are Amagaju and AS Kigali in?
Over the last 5 games Amagaju have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and AS Kigali 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Amagaju vs AS Kigali?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.