Rwanda - National Soccer LeagueData current as of 21 October 2026

Amagaju vs Gorilla: match statistics

Amagaju crest
Amagaju
2 : 1half-time 1:1
Gorilla crest
Gorilla
130%(0.00)
X40%(0.00)
230%(0.00)

The match promises to be a very even clash between two teams from the bottom of the table. 18th-placed Amagaju displays catastrophic home form with 0% home wins and as many as 70% losses, scoring just 0.3 goals per match. 14th-placed Gorilla has slightly better away statistics (18% wins), but their recent form is equally poor with only 0.8 points per game. Both teams are characterized by low offensive efficiency – Amagaju has 70% of home games without a goal, while Gorilla has 45% away. Considering both teams' poor form, high draw rates (30% for Amagaju at home, 36% for Gorilla away), and the low goal average in their matches, the most likely outcome is a low-scoring draw. The xG statistics are very close (1.09 vs 0.9), which further confirms the prediction of a balanced encounter.

Amagaju vs Gorilla: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Amagaju played Gorilla in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Amagaju: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Gorilla: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Amagaju scores 0.41 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Gorilla scores 0.68 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.08 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Amagaju 23%, Gorilla 41%. Over 2.5: Amagaju 14%, Gorilla 36%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 35%.

xG, shots and style

Amagaju has higher xG: 0.91 vs 0.89. Amagaju: 5.1 shots per match, Gorilla: 5.0.

Match halves

Amagaju: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.23. Gorilla: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.27.

Goals by minute

Amagaju: 76-90+ (3 goals). Gorilla: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 35%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

The match promises to be a very even clash between two teams from the bottom of the table. 18th-placed Amagaju displays catastrophic home form with 0% home wins and as many as 70% losses, scoring just 0.3 goals per match. 14th-placed Gorilla has slightly better away statistics (18% wins), but their recent form is equally poor with only 0.8 points per game. Both teams are characterized by low offensive efficiency – Amagaju has 70% of home games without a goal, while Gorilla has 45% away. Considering both teams' poor form, high draw rates (30% for Amagaju at home, 36% for Gorilla away), and the low goal average in their matches, the most likely outcome is a low-scoring draw. The xG statistics are very close (1.09 vs 0.9), which further confirms the prediction of a balanced encounter.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
AmagajuGorilla
6Shots3
AmagajuGorilla
3Shots on target1
AmagajuGorilla
1.1xG0.86
AmagajuGorilla
5Corners5
AmagajuGorilla
68Dangerous attacks79
AmagajuGorilla
-1Fouls-1
AmagajuGorilla
-1Cards-1
AmagajuGorilla

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.41Goals scored / match0.68
AmagajuGorilla
1.23Goals conceded / match1.14
AmagajuGorilla
44%Average possession47%
AmagajuGorilla
1.27Shots on target / match1.82
AmagajuGorilla

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

5.09Shots per match4.95
AmagajuGorilla
1.27Shots on target1.82
AmagajuGorilla
8%Shot conversion13.8%
AmagajuGorilla
44%Possession47%
AmagajuGorilla
0.91xG for0.89
AmagajuGorilla
1.02xG against1.15
AmagajuGorilla

Shooting quality

Amagaju: BalancedGorilla: Counter-attacking
AmagajuGorilla
Accuracy (shots on target)25%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Amagaju is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Amagaju · 0.8 pts / match - Gorilla

Amagaju
DDLWD
Season result split
18% W27% D55% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-6-12
0.82 pts / match · goal difference -18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-3-7
Last 5 at home
0-1-4
LLLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 0.93Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%
Gorilla
DWLLL
Season result split
23% W32% D45% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-7-10
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-4-5
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LDLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 0.86Opponent xG: 1.06BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Gorilla is 66% better for: goals scored per match.

0.41 goals / match - Amagaju · 0.68 goals / match - Gorilla

Gorilla is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.23 goals / match - Amagaju · 1.14 goals / match - Gorilla

Amagaju scoring profile: mixed

Amagaju scores in 36% of matches (8 of 22 matches), while Gorilla keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).

Gorilla scoring profile: strong

Gorilla scores in 55% of matches (12 of 22 matches), while Amagaju keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).

9Goals scored (season)15
AmagajuGorilla
27Goals conceded (season)25
AmagajuGorilla
1.64Average goals in match1.82
AmagajuGorilla
3Goals scored (last 5)4
AmagajuGorilla
4Goals conceded (last 5)7
AmagajuGorilla

How often they score at least...

36%1 goal55%
AmagajuGorilla
5%2 goals14%
AmagajuGorilla
0%3 goals0%
AmagajuGorilla
0%4 goals0%
AmagajuGorilla

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal68%
AmagajuGorilla
23%2 goals27%
AmagajuGorilla
5%3 goals14%
AmagajuGorilla
5%4 goals5%
AmagajuGorilla

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time14%
AmagajuGorilla
0%BTTS in both halves0%
AmagajuGorilla
5%Scored in both halves0%
AmagajuGorilla

BTTS and goal count

9%Min. 3 goals and BTTS27%
AmagajuGorilla
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
AmagajuGorilla
40%BTTS - last 560%
AmagajuGorilla

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

55%Min. 1 goal before half-time59%
AmagajuGorilla
18%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
AmagajuGorilla
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
AmagajuGorilla

2nd half

59%Min. 1 goal after half-time64%
AmagajuGorilla
14%Min. 2 goals after half-time18%
AmagajuGorilla
5%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
AmagajuGorilla

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Gorilla is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.82 pts / match - Amagaju · 1.05 pts / match - Gorilla

Amagaju - half-time state
9% leading55% draw36% trailing
Gorilla - half-time state
18% leading50% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.82Points per match (1st half)1.05
AmagajuGorilla
0.18Goals scored (1st half)0.41
AmagajuGorilla
0.64Goals conceded (1st half)0.59
AmagajuGorilla
0.82Average goals (1st half)1
AmagajuGorilla
55%Clean sheet before half-time59%
AmagajuGorilla
82%No goal before half-time68%
AmagajuGorilla

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)0.95
AmagajuGorilla
0.23Goals scored (2nd half)0.27
AmagajuGorilla
0.59Goals conceded (2nd half)0.55
AmagajuGorilla
0.82Average goals (2nd half)0.82
AmagajuGorilla
59%Clean sheet after half-time55%
AmagajuGorilla
77%No goal after half-time77%
AmagajuGorilla

Amagaju - second-half results

18% W45% D36% L
18
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Gorilla - second-half results

18% W41% D41% L
23
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.05
PPG before half-time
Lead holding128%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Amagaju - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.60
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match0.80.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Gorilla - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.20
Goals scored / match0.80.0
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.21.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference+2-5
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Amagaju
ScoredConceded
1
5
0-15
2
6
16-30
1
3
31-45
0
4
46-60
2
4
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Gorilla
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
5
3
16-30
2
9
31-45
1
4
46-60
2
3
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.73
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
83%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
32%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-42%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
20%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
29%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 3 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Amagaju

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.71
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+11.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.50
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
37%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
126%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.38
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Gorilla

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

AmagajuLigaGorilla
Average goals in match▼ 1.642.08▼ 1.82
Both teams scored▼ 23%45%▼ 41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 14%35%• 36%
Clean sheets▼ 27%34%▼ 32%
Goal before half-time▼ 55%63%▼ 59%
Goal after half-time▼ 59%69%▼ 64%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.08
Average goals per match
45%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.10
Home goals / match
0.98
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Amagaju 1 - 0 - 0 Gorilla. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Gorilla
0 : 1
Amagaju

FAQ

What was the result of Amagaju vs Gorilla?

The National Soccer League match finished Amagaju 2:1 Gorilla. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Amagaju vs Gorilla?

Amagaju score 0.41 goals per game on average and Gorilla 0.68. The National Soccer League average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 23% of Amagaju's matches and 41% of Gorilla's.

What form are Amagaju and Gorilla in?

Over the last 5 games Amagaju have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Gorilla 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Amagaju vs Gorilla?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.