Amarante vs CD Mafra: match statistics
CD Mafra shows significantly better form in their last five matches, averaging 2.2 points per game compared to Amarante's 1.6. The visitors have an impressive overall season record with 10 wins and only 2 losses, while the hosts have suffered 6 defeats. Although Amarante has a home advantage with a 44% win rate in home matches, CD Mafra rarely loses away (22% losses) and draws more frequently (44% draws). The xG statistics are balanced, but Mafra scores more goals on average per match (1.44 vs 1.33) and has a better unbeaten run in their last five games. Considering the visitors' higher efficiency and consistency, I predict their victory, although a draw is also a realistic scenario due to Mafra's tendency to share points away from home.
Amarante vs CD Mafra: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Amarante played CD Mafra in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Amarante: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. CD Mafra: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Amarante scores 1.05 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. CD Mafra scores 1.53 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.16 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Amarante 37%, CD Mafra 63%. Over 2.5: Amarante 37%, CD Mafra 42%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
CD Mafra has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.06. Amarante: 8.1 shots per match, CD Mafra: 9.8.
Match halves
Amarante: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.74. CD Mafra: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.95.
Goals by minute
Amarante: 76-90+ (7 goals). CD Mafra: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.16 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CD Mafra shows significantly better form in their last five matches, averaging 2.2 points per game compared to Amarante's 1.6. The visitors have an impressive overall season record with 10 wins and only 2 losses, while the hosts have suffered 6 defeats. Although Amarante has a home advantage with a 44% win rate in home matches, CD Mafra rarely loses away (22% losses) and draws more frequently (44% draws). The xG statistics are balanced, but Mafra scores more goals on average per match (1.44 vs 1.33) and has a better unbeaten run in their last five games. Considering the visitors' higher efficiency and consistency, I predict their victory, although a draw is also a realistic scenario due to Mafra's tendency to share points away from home.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Amarante | CD Mafra | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CD Mafra is 38% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Amarante · 2.2 pts / match - CD Mafra
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CD Mafra is 46% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Amarante · 1.53 goals / match - CD Mafra
Amarante scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while CD Mafra keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
CD Mafra scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Amarante keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Amarante
Over / Under - CD Mafra
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CD Mafra is 58% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Amarante · 1.58 pts / match - CD Mafra
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Amarante - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
CD Mafra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Amarante
CD Mafra
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Amarante | Liga | CD Mafra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.05 | 2.16 | ▲ 2.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 46% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 37% | 37% | ▲ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 33% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 63% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | • 74% | 74% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Amarante vs CD Mafra?
The Liga 3 match finished Amarante 1:0 CD Mafra. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Amarante vs CD Mafra?
Amarante score 1.05 goals per game on average and CD Mafra 1.53. The Liga 3 average is 2.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Amarante's matches and 63% of CD Mafra's.
What form are Amarante and CD Mafra in?
Over the last 5 games Amarante have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and CD Mafra 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Amarante vs CD Mafra?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.