Amarante vs CD Trofense: match statistics
The statistical analysis indicates a very balanced matchup between the two teams. Amarante displays solid home form with a 50% win rate and a +3 goal difference, but their last five overall matches show moderate form (1.6 points per game). CD Trofense is characterized by a high percentage of draws away (50%) and an identical goal difference (+3), suggesting defensive stability despite their recent dip in form (0.6 points per game). A key factor is the very similar xG of both sides (1.13 vs 1.07) as well as a comparable average goals scored. Considering the visitors' tendency to draw and the recent form decline of both teams in the latest rounds, the most probable scenario appears to be a share of the points, although the hosts hold a slight advantage due to the home-field factor.
Amarante vs CD Trofense: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Amarante played CD Trofense in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Amarante: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. CD Trofense: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Amarante scores 1.10 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. CD Trofense scores 1.14 and concedes 0.91. League average: 2.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Amarante 38%, CD Trofense 55%. Over 2.5: Amarante 38%, CD Trofense 32%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
CD Trofense has higher xG: 1.18 vs 1.05. Amarante: 8.1 shots per match, CD Trofense: 8.0.
Match halves
Amarante: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.71. CD Trofense: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Amarante: 76-90+ (7 goals). CD Trofense: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.20 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The statistical analysis indicates a very balanced matchup between the two teams. Amarante displays solid home form with a 50% win rate and a +3 goal difference, but their last five overall matches show moderate form (1.6 points per game). CD Trofense is characterized by a high percentage of draws away (50%) and an identical goal difference (+3), suggesting defensive stability despite their recent dip in form (0.6 points per game). A key factor is the very similar xG of both sides (1.13 vs 1.07) as well as a comparable average goals scored. Considering the visitors' tendency to draw and the recent form decline of both teams in the latest rounds, the most probable scenario appears to be a share of the points, although the hosts hold a slight advantage due to the home-field factor.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Amarante | CD Trofense | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Amarante is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Amarante · 0.6 pts / match - CD Trofense
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Amarante scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while CD Trofense keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
CD Trofense scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Amarante keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Amarante
Over / Under - CD Trofense
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CD Trofense is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / match - Amarante · 1.45 pts / match - CD Trofense
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Amarante - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
CD Trofense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 32%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Amarante
CD Trofense
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Amarante | Liga | CD Trofense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.05 | 2.20 | ▼ 2.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 47% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 38% | 38% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 32% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 65% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 73% | ▼ 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Amarante 1 - 1 - 0 CD Trofense. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Amarante vs CD Trofense?
The Liga 3 match finished Amarante 1:0 CD Trofense. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Amarante and CD Trofense?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Amarante won 1, CD Trofense won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Amarante vs CD Trofense?
Amarante score 1.10 goals per game on average and CD Trofense 1.14. The Liga 3 average is 2.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Amarante's matches and 55% of CD Trofense's.
What form are Amarante and CD Trofense in?
Over the last 5 games Amarante have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and CD Trofense 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Amarante vs CD Trofense?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.