Amarante vs Sporting Braga II: match statistics
Amarante displays significantly better form, winning four of their last five matches and averaging 2.4 points per game. The hosts boast a solid home record with a 43% win rate and just 29% losses, scoring an average of 1.43 goals while maintaining a positive goal difference (+1). Sporting Braga II struggles severely on the road, losing 57% of away matches and failing to score (averaging only 0.71 goals per away game), with 57% of matches ending without finding the net. The visitors' negative away goal difference (-5) and significantly lower offensive efficiency (xG 0.93 vs 1.22 for the hosts) further argue for an Amarante victory. Sporting Braga II's possession advantage (55%) does not translate into efficiency, making the hosts the clear favorites for this encounter.
Amarante vs Sporting Braga II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Amarante played Sporting Braga II in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 11 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Amarante: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Sporting Braga II: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Amarante scores 1.13 and concedes 1.07 goals per match. Sporting Braga II scores 0.93 and concedes 0.93. League average: 2.18 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Amarante 33%, Sporting Braga II 33%. Over 2.5: Amarante 40%, Sporting Braga II 27%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 36%.
xG, shots and style
Amarante has higher xG: 1.11 vs 1.07. Amarante: 8.5 shots per match, Sporting Braga II: 7.6.
Match halves
Amarante: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.73. Sporting Braga II: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Amarante: 76-90+ (6 goals). Sporting Braga II: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.18 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 36%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Amarante displays significantly better form, winning four of their last five matches and averaging 2.4 points per game. The hosts boast a solid home record with a 43% win rate and just 29% losses, scoring an average of 1.43 goals while maintaining a positive goal difference (+1). Sporting Braga II struggles severely on the road, losing 57% of away matches and failing to score (averaging only 0.71 goals per away game), with 57% of matches ending without finding the net. The visitors' negative away goal difference (-5) and significantly lower offensive efficiency (xG 0.93 vs 1.22 for the hosts) further argue for an Amarante victory. Sporting Braga II's possession advantage (55%) does not translate into efficiency, making the hosts the clear favorites for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Amarante | Sporting Braga II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Amarante is 50% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Amarante · 1.6 pts / match - Sporting Braga II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Amarante is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Amarante · 0.93 goals / match - Sporting Braga II
Sporting Braga II is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.07 goals / match - Amarante · 0.93 goals / match - Sporting Braga II
Amarante scores in 60% of matches (9 of 15 matches), while Sporting Braga II keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 matches).
Sporting Braga II scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Amarante keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Amarante
Over / Under - Sporting Braga II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Amarante is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Amarante · 0.87 pts / match - Sporting Braga II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Amarante - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sporting Braga II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Amarante
Sporting Braga II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Amarante | Liga | Sporting Braga II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.20 | 2.18 | ▼ 1.87 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 46% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 36% | ▼ 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 33% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 62% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | • 73% | 73% | • 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Amarante 0 - 0 - 1 Sporting Braga II. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Amarante vs Sporting Braga II?
The Liga 3 match finished Amarante 1:0 Sporting Braga II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Amarante vs Sporting Braga II?
Amarante score 1.13 goals per game on average and Sporting Braga II 0.93. The Liga 3 average is 2.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Amarante's matches and 33% of Sporting Braga II's.
What form are Amarante and Sporting Braga II in?
Over the last 5 games Amarante have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Sporting Braga II 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Amarante vs Sporting Braga II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.