Amed vs Beşiktaş: match statistics

Amed are extremely strong at home: they have won all 3 league matches, scoring an average of 3.33 goals and conceding just 0.33 per game. The hosts also create high-quality chances, as shown by their average xG of 1.75 compared with their opponents’ xG of just 0.89, while they have kept a clean sheet in 67% of their home appearances. Beşiktaş may sit 2nd and have scored 12 goals in 5 rounds, but they average only 1 goal away from home, have failed to score in 50% of such matches and have not kept a single clean sheet. The visitors enjoy greater possession, 58% compared with 44%, but their away conversion rate is only 7%, whereas Amed convert 19% of their shots. Amed’s home goal difference stands at +9, while Beşiktaş’s away goal difference is 0, so home advantage and the more stable defence point towards a home win.

The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as Amed kept a clean sheet in 67% of matches and concedes an average of just 0.67 goals at home. Beşiktaş failed to score in 50% of away matches, while its shot conversion rate is only 7%, despite recording 6 shots on target per game. The hosts have a very strong attack, scoring an average of 3.33 goals with an xG of 2.02, so a one-sided result with Amed scoring is a realistic scenario. In their last five matches, both teams registered BTTS in only 40% of cases, below the league average of 49%. Although Beşiktaş has created chances worth 1.77 xG in its last five appearances, Amed’s solid defense and the hosts’ high clean-sheet rate provide slightly stronger support for the outcome in which at least one team fails to score.

Amed score an average of 3.33 goals per match at home and create chances worth 2.02 xG, with 19.33 shots and 6 shots on target. Beşiktaş average 1.70 xG in attack and also register 6 shots on target, so even against the hosts’ very solid defense, at least one genuine scoring chance for the visitors should be expected. In their last five matches, both teams averaged 2.4 and 2.2 goals per game respectively, while the 2.5 line was surpassed in 80% of Amed’s matches and 60% of Beşiktaş’s. At the same time, the hosts kept a clean sheet in 67% of their matches, which reduces confidence in a high-scoring game and supports a more cautious line. Over 1.5 has the strongest backing, as both teams scored at least one goal in 100% of their matches so far, while the projected total of 2.90 goals is clearly above this threshold.

Amed have exceptionally strong home numbers: they have won 100% of their matches so far, averaging 3.33 goals scored and conceding just 0.67. The hosts were leading at the break in all three home fixtures, scoring an average of 1.67 goals before half-time while keeping a clean sheet. Beşiktaş have yet to lead at half-time away from home; in both such matches, they went into the break level, scoring only 0.50 goals per game. Amed’s superiority is also evident in the quality of play, with an average xG of 2.02 compared with the opponents’ 1.70, while their xG conceded is just 0.73. The strongest scenario is therefore for the hosts to lead at half-time and maintain their advantage until the final whistle, although Beşiktaş’s strong recent form increases the likelihood of draw outcomes and a potential turnaround.