América vs Atlas: match statistics
América vs Atlas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
América played Atlas in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 26 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
América: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Atlas: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
América scores 1.57 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Atlas scores 1.18 and concedes 1.61. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: América 54%, Atlas 52%. Over 2.5: América 49%, Atlas 48%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
América has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.10. América: 14.5 shots per match, Atlas: 10.4.
Match halves
América: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.00. Atlas: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
América: 76-90+ (16 goals). Atlas: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
América is the clear favorite: the team wins 71% of home matches and has a +14 goal differential at their stadium. At home their averages are 1.76 goals per match with xG 1.92 and 6.41 shots on target per match, while Atlas away records only 0.88 goals per game with xG 0.96 and 2.75 shots on target. Defensively the gap is significant — América concedes 0.94 goals at home (xG against 1.00), whereas Atlas concedes 1.94 on the road (xG against 1.66), and Atlas fail to score in 38% of away matches versus just 6% for the home side. In the last 5 matches América has scored 6 goals and averages 1.6 points per game, while Atlas have scored only 1 goal in their last five and average 1.2 points per game, confirming the visitors’ low efficiency. Based on this I assess a high probability of a home win, moderate chances of a draw and low chances of an Atlas victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back 'No' (BTTS - No) with an estimated probability of 65% vs 35% for 'Yes'. Atlas averages 0.88 goals away per game, has scored a total of 1 goal in the last 5 matches (0.2 avg) and has 0% BTTS in that run, strongly indicating offensive issues for the visitors. América scores 1.47 goals per game with xG 1.24, has 55 goals this season and generates on average 11.35 shots and 3.82 shots on target per match; additionally they keep a clean sheet in 41% of games, which increases the likelihood hosts score while visitors do not. Atlas concedes 1.94 goals per game, has 39 goals this season, xG 0.96 and only 2.75 shots on target per game, indicating low response potential. Although the league has an overall BTTS level of 59%, the strong signal from the visitors’ last 5 matches (0% BTTS, 0.2 goals) plus the hosts’ advantage in xG and shot volume favor the 'No' scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate total expected goals at 2.71: América 1.45 (average of attacking xG 1.24 and xG conceded by Atlas 1.66) and Atlas 1.26 (average of attacking xG 0.96 and xG conceded by América 1.56). Seasonal rates show Over 1.5 occurred in 65% of América’s matches and 81% of Atlas’s matches, while Over 2.5 is 59% for América and 38% for Atlas, which provides a stronger signal for >1.5 than for >2.5. A Poisson model with λ=2.71 yields probabilities of approximately 75% for Over 1.5, 51% for Over 2.5 and 29% for Over 3.5, i.e. a moderate chance to exceed 2.5 goals. Additionally, América scores on average 1.47 goals per match and Atlas concedes on average 1.94 goals (the league average is 2.9 goals per match), which increases the probability of home goals. Based on this, I recommend betting the over at the 1.5 line as the strongest and most reliable signal from the available data.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is América leading at half-time and ultimately winning the match (1/1). América led at the break in 47% of matches and has a 41% win rate this season, with an average of 0.88 first-half goals versus Atlas’s 0.38, which strongly supports a half-time lead. Supporting the likelihood of them holding the lead are xG figures of 1.24 vs 0.96, 3.82 shots on target versus 2.75, and superior shot conversion of 13% vs 9%, so the home side creates and converts more chances. Atlas were behind at half-time in 44% of games and concede an average of 0.94 first-half goals, limiting their chances of a turnaround; at the same time, 80% of América’s recent five matches were level at HT, which justifies some occurrence of X/1 and X/X scenarios.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| América | Atlas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
América is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - América · 1.2 pts / match - Atlas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
América is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.57 goals / match - América · 1.18 goals / match - Atlas
América is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - América · 1.61 goals / match - Atlas
América scores in 80% of matches (28 of 35 matches), while Atlas keeps a clean sheet in 27% (9 of 33 matches).
Atlas scores in 67% of matches (22 of 33 matches), while América keeps a clean sheet in 31% (11 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - América
Over / Under - Atlas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
América - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 51%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 30%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
América
Atlas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| América | Liga | Atlas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.63 | 2.91 | ▼ 2.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 59% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 49% | 56% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 24% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 73% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 76% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: América 1 - 0 - 0 Atlas. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of América vs Atlas?
The Liga MX match finished América 0:1 Atlas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before América vs Atlas?
América score 1.57 goals per game on average and Atlas 1.18. The Liga MX average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 54% of América's matches and 52% of Atlas's.
What form are América and Atlas in?
Over the last 5 games América have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Atlas 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for América vs Atlas?
The statistical background for América vs Atlas — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.