Amiens SC vs La Roche VF: match statistics

La Roche VF are in significantly better form, going unbeaten in their last 5 matches with 3 wins and 2 draws, while Amiens SC have recorded 3 defeats and 2 draws. The visitors scored 10 goals during this period, averaging 2.0 per game, whereas the hosts managed just 2, highlighting a significant difference in attacking efficiency. La Roche VF’s defence conceded only 4 goals across those five matches, while Amiens conceded as many as 11, an average of 2.2 per game. The points tally from the last five league rounds further confirms the disparity: 2.2 points per match for the visitors compared with 0.4 for Amiens. Despite the hosts’ home advantage, the current trends on both sides clearly indicate that La Roche VF have the greater chance of securing victory.

The strongest signal against BTTS is Amiens’ poor recent attacking form, having scored just 2 goals in their last five matches, averaging 0.4 per game. The hosts have lost three of their last five matches and drawn two, while conceding an average of 2.2 goals, meaning their defensive problems could primarily drive the visitors’ result. La Roche are in significantly better offensive form, scoring 10 times in their last 5 matches with an average xG of 1.21, whereas Amiens have an xG of 1.36 but are failing to convert it into goals. BTTS has landed in 40% of Amiens’ last five matches and 60% of La Roche’s, while the league figure is just 22%, strengthening the scenario in which at least one team fails to score. BTTS - No is therefore the most likely outcome, particularly if Amiens fail to score once again.

Recent form clearly favors La Roche: in their last five matches, the team scored 10 goals, averaging 2.0 per game, while Amiens conceded 11 goals during this period, an average of 2.2. At the same time, the hosts have been inefficient in front of goal, scoring just 2 goals in their last five appearances, or 0.4 per match, while La Roche allowed opponents only 4 goals. The xG figures point to moderate overall attacking potential: 1.36 for Amiens and 1.21 for La Roche over their last five matches, compared with the league average of 2.44 goals. Only 40% of each team’s last five matches ended with at least three goals, which is why the Under 3.5 line has the strongest support in the data.

La Roche are showing significantly better current form: over their last five matches, they have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while Amiens have scored just 0.4 goals and allowed opponents 2.2. The visitors have not lost any of their last five games, winning 60% of them, whereas the hosts have recorded no victories during this period and suffered defeats in 60% of their matches. At half-time, Amiens were trailing in 60% of their recent games, while La Roche remained unbeaten at the break in all of theirs, taking the lead in 25%. The contrast is even more pronounced after half-time: the hosts averaged 0.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while the visitors scored 1.0 and conceded just 0.5. The most likely scenario is therefore an HT/FT 1/1 outcome, with La Roche taking the lead at the break and holding it until the end of the match.