Amiens SC vs Montpellier: match statistics
Amiens SC vs Montpellier: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Amiens SC played Montpellier in Ligue 2 (France). The match was played on 24 April 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Amiens SC: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Montpellier: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Amiens SC scores 1.16 and concedes 1.77 goals per match. Montpellier scores 1.19 and concedes 0.90. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Amiens SC 58%, Montpellier 39%. Over 2.5: Amiens SC 55%, Montpellier 29%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Montpellier has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.09. Amiens SC: 9.5 shots per match, Montpellier: 11.3.
Match halves
Amiens SC: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.61. Montpellier: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Amiens SC: 16-30 (8 goals). Montpellier: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 2: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Montpellier holds a clear form advantage: in the last 5 matches the visitors have averaged 1.8 points per game (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses) and scored 6 goals with 3 conceded, while Amiens over the same period have only 0.2 points per game (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses) and a goal record of 6:10. Montpellier’s defense is markedly superior — away opponents score on them at an average of 0.67 goals per game (average xG against 1.36) and the team keeps 40% clean sheets, whereas Amiens at home concede 1.8 goals per game on average (xG against 1.56) and have only 13% matches without conceding. Amiens’ home offensive output is 1.07 goals per game with an average xG of 1.14 and 3.6 shots on target, while Montpellier away score 0.73 goals on average with xG 1.07 and 2.73 shots on target; despite similar xG (1.14 vs 1.07) Amiens shows higher shot efficiency (11% vs 8%). Additionally Amiens have lost 67% of home matches and have a negative home goal difference of -11, while Montpellier have a positive away goal difference of +1 and win 33% of away games, giving the visitors an edge in stability. Consequently I forecast a Montpellier win, noting the risk of a low-scoring game, since Amiens failed to score in 47% of home matches and Montpellier failed to score in 53% of their away matches.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The dominant signal against BTTS is Montpellier’s very low share of matches with both teams scoring — only 20% this season — and 40% clean sheets; in their last 5 away games they conceded 3 goals (0.6 per game). Amiens has a clearly stronger attack: 1.63 goals scored per game on average, xG 1.45 and 4.69 shots on target, and the hosts record BTTS in 56% of matches (60% in the last 5). Additionally, Montpellier concedes 0.67 goals per game on the season and only 13% of their away matches exceed 2.5 goals, which limits the probability of both teams scoring. Although Amiens conceded 10 goals in the last 5 matches (2.0 per game) and creates more chances (13.13 shots per game), Montpellier’s defensive edge and their low seasonal BTTS rate prevail. As a result I assign 40% probability to BTTS - Yes and 60% to No; recommendation: No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and expected-opponent values I project total goals around 2.60: Amiens xG 1.45 vs opponent-xG 1.36 → hosts ~1.41; Montpellier xG 1.07 vs opponent-xG 1.30 → visitors ~1.19. A Poisson model with mean 2.60 implies ~73% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), ~48% for Over 2.5 and ~26% for Over 3.5. Additionally, Amiens at home records Over 1.5 in 81% of matches, scores 1.63 goals on average, averages 13.13 shots and 4.69 on target with a 12% conversion rate, supporting a higher-scoring perspective. Montpellier away scores 0.73 goals on average, has Over 2.5 in 13% of away matches and has conceded only 0.6 goals per game in the last 5, which limits upside for a very high total. Overall the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (recommendation: Over 1.5), while Over 2.5 is borderline and Over 3.5 looks unlikely.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I project X/1 (draw at Half-Time, home win at Full-Time) as the most likely scenario. A draw at the break is plausible because Amiens were level at half-time in 44% of matches and Montpellier in 60%, and Montpellier also keep a clean sheet to half-time in 73% of games, which suppresses first-half scoring. After the break Amiens should take control: their season average home goals is 1.63 versus 0.73 for the away side, xG 1.45 vs 1.07, and stronger second-half performance (on average 1.44 goals after the break vs 0.87 for opponents and 44% second-half wins compared to 27%). Home pressure is corroborated by shots and efficiency — 4.69 on-target shots on average for Amiens versus 2.73 for Montpellier and conversion 12% vs 8%. Despite Amiens’ weaker recent form over the last five matches (lldll), the season-long advantages in xG, finishing and second-half results provide the strongest signal for a Half-Time draw and an Amiens win after 90 minutes.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Amiens SC | Montpellier | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Montpellier is 800% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Amiens SC · 1.8 pts / match - Montpellier
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Montpellier is 97% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.77 goals / match - Amiens SC · 0.9 goals / match - Montpellier
Amiens SC scores in 65% of matches (20 of 31 matches), while Montpellier keeps a clean sheet in 35% (11 of 31 matches).
Montpellier scores in 65% of matches (20 of 31 matches), while Amiens SC keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Amiens SC
Over / Under - Montpellier
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Montpellier is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Amiens SC · 1.19 pts / match - Montpellier
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Amiens SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 19%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Montpellier - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Amiens SC
Montpellier
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Amiens SC | Liga | Montpellier | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.94 | 2.47 | ▼ 2.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 51% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 47% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 30% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 66% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 72% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Amiens SC 0 - 1 - 0 Montpellier. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Amiens SC vs Montpellier?
The Ligue 2 match finished Amiens SC 0:2 Montpellier. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Amiens SC vs Montpellier?
Amiens SC score 1.16 goals per game on average and Montpellier 1.19. The Ligue 2 average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Amiens SC's matches and 39% of Montpellier's.
What form are Amiens SC and Montpellier in?
Over the last 5 games Amiens SC have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Montpellier 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Amiens SC vs Montpellier?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.