Ammanford vs Caernarfon Town: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Ammanford vs Caernarfon Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ammanford play Caernarfon Town in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match date is 11 September 2026.
Current form
Ammanford: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Caernarfon Town: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ammanford scores 0.57 and concedes 2.29 goals per match. Caernarfon Town scores 2.57 and concedes 1.29. League average: 3.14 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ammanford 43%, Caernarfon Town 57%. Over 2.5: Ammanford 43%, Caernarfon Town 86%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Caernarfon Town has higher xG: 1.53 vs 0.75. Ammanford: 5.7 shots per match, Caernarfon Town: 13.7.
Match halves
Ammanford: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.29. Caernarfon Town: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 1.29.
Goals by minute
Ammanford: 0-15 (1 goals). Caernarfon Town: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 3.14 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ammanford | Caernarfon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Caernarfon Town is 1100% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Ammanford · 2.4 pts / match - Caernarfon Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Caernarfon Town is 351% better for: goals scored per match.
0.57 goals / match - Ammanford · 2.57 goals / match - Caernarfon Town
Caernarfon Town is 78% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.29 goals / match - Ammanford · 1.29 goals / match - Caernarfon Town
Ammanford scores in 43% of matches (3 of 7 matches), while Caernarfon Town keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
Caernarfon Town scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Ammanford keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ammanford
Over / Under - Caernarfon Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Caernarfon Town is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.57 pts / match - Ammanford · 1.71 pts / match - Caernarfon Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ammanford - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Caernarfon Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ammanford
Caernarfon Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ammanford | Liga | Caernarfon Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.86 | 3.14 | ▲ 3.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 48% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 57% | ▲ 86% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 27% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 79% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 84% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Ammanford and Caernarfon Town play?
Ammanford face Caernarfon Town on 11 September 2026 in Welsh Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ammanford vs Caernarfon Town?
Ammanford score 0.57 goals per game on average and Caernarfon Town 2.57. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Ammanford's matches and 57% of Caernarfon Town's.
What form are Ammanford and Caernarfon Town in?
Over the last 5 games Ammanford have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Caernarfon Town 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ammanford vs Caernarfon Town?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ammanford vs Caernarfon Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.