Ammanford vs Caernarfon Town: match statistics
Ammanford vs Caernarfon Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ammanford played Caernarfon Town in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 11 September 2026. Venue: Manor Road. Final score: 0:5.
Current form
Ammanford: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Caernarfon Town: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ammanford scores 0.57 and concedes 2.29 goals per match. Caernarfon Town scores 2.57 and concedes 1.29. League average: 3.14 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ammanford 43%, Caernarfon Town 57%. Over 2.5: Ammanford 43%, Caernarfon Town 86%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Caernarfon Town has higher xG: 1.53 vs 0.75. Ammanford: 5.7 shots per match, Caernarfon Town: 13.7.
Match halves
Ammanford: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.29. Caernarfon Town: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 1.29.
Goals by minute
Ammanford: 0-15 (1 goals). Caernarfon Town: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 3.14 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Caernarfon Town sit 4th, having won 5 of their 7 matches this season, while their last five games have produced 4 victories and an impressive 15 goals. Ammanford remain winless after 7 rounds, have scored just 4 goals, and have lost 4 of their last five matches, with a 1:12 goal difference. At home, the hosts average 0.67 goals scored, create chances worth just 0.72 xG, and have failed to find the net in 67% of their matches. The visitors have won every away game so far, averaging 3 goals scored, registering 6 shots on target per match, and recording 63% possession compared with Ammanford’s 41%. The disparity in attacking quality, combined with the hosts’ fragile home defence—conceding an average of 3 goals per game—strongly favours a Caernarfon Town victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Ammanford’s very poor recent scoring record: in their last 5 matches, the team scored just 1 goal, averaging 0.2 per game, while their xG was only 0.70. Over the same period, Caernarfon Town averaged 3.0 goals and won 4 of 5 matches, whereas Ammanford lost 4 of 5 and conceded an average of 2.4 goals. The hosts recorded BTTS in only 20% of their last five appearances, well below the 48% league-wide figure, suggesting a frequent scenario in which they fail to score. Caernarfon are not flawless defensively, but they concede an average of 1.2 goals in their last 5 matches; combining this defensive record with Ammanford’s attacking output of 0.2 goals makes a result in which at least one team fails to score more likely. BTTS - No does not automatically mean a 0:0 draw or that neither team will score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Caernarfon Town are in excellent attacking form, averaging 3.0 goals scored across their last five matches, while Ammanford conceded 2.4 goals per game during the same period. The hosts have shown limited recent attacking output, scoring just 1 goal in their last five appearances, but their defence has conceded 12 goals and allowed opponents an average of 1.87 xG. Both teams have recorded matches with at least 2 goals in 100% of their games this season, while Caernarfon Town have surpassed the 2.5-goal line in 67% of them. The strongest signal therefore points to Over 1.5 goals: even with a limited contribution from Ammanford, the visitors’ attacking efficiency and current form should be enough to produce at least two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Caernarfon Town are showing significantly better current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Ammanford have failed to win any and have lost 4 of their 5. The visitors were leading at the break in 80% of their last five matches, while the hosts were trailing at half-time in 80% of their games over the same period. The attacking disparity is very clear, with Ammanford scoring just 0.2 goals per match recently and conceding 2.4, whereas Caernarfon Town average 3.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Before half-time, the visitors average 1.6 goals, compared with just 0.2 for the hosts, strongly supporting a lead for Caernarfon Town in the first half. After the break, Ammanford have still averaged no goals scored in their last five matches, while Caernarfon Town have added 1.4, making an HT/FT scenario in which the visitors lead at half-time and go on to win the most likely outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ammanford | Caernarfon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Caernarfon Town is 1100% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Ammanford · 2.4 pts / match - Caernarfon Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Caernarfon Town is 351% better for: goals scored per match.
0.57 goals / match - Ammanford · 2.57 goals / match - Caernarfon Town
Caernarfon Town is 78% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.29 goals / match - Ammanford · 1.29 goals / match - Caernarfon Town
Ammanford scores in 43% of matches (3 of 7 matches), while Caernarfon Town keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
Caernarfon Town scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Ammanford keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ammanford
Over / Under - Caernarfon Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Caernarfon Town is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.57 pts / match - Ammanford · 1.71 pts / match - Caernarfon Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ammanford - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Caernarfon Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ammanford
Caernarfon Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ammanford | Liga | Caernarfon Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.86 | 3.14 | ▲ 3.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 48% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 57% | ▲ 86% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 27% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 79% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 84% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Ammanford vs Caernarfon Town?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Ammanford 0:5 Caernarfon Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ammanford vs Caernarfon Town?
Ammanford score 0.57 goals per game on average and Caernarfon Town 2.57. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Ammanford's matches and 57% of Caernarfon Town's.
What form are Ammanford and Caernarfon Town in?
Over the last 5 games Ammanford have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Caernarfon Town 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ammanford vs Caernarfon Town?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ammanford vs Caernarfon Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.