Ammanford vs Connah's Quay: match statistics
Ammanford vs Connah's Quay: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ammanford played Connah's Quay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 22 August 2026. Venue: Manor Road. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Ammanford: 0-1-2, 0.33 points/match. Connah's Quay: 2-0-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ammanford scores 1.00 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Connah's Quay scores 3.33 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ammanford 67%, Connah's Quay 67%. Over 2.5: Ammanford 67%, Connah's Quay 100%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Connah's Quay has higher xG: 2.15 vs 0.78. Ammanford: 5.7 shots per match, Connah's Quay: 17.3.
Match halves
Ammanford: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.67. Connah's Quay: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 1.33.
Goals by minute
Ammanford: 0-15 (1 goals). Connah's Quay: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Connah's Quay sit 5th, while Ammanford are 12th, and the visitors have won 2 of their first 3 league matches with a 10:3 goal difference. Away from home, Connah's Quay average 3 goals per match and create chances worth 2.08 xG, clearly outperforming Ammanford, whose average home xG is just 0.92. The visitors’ superiority is also evident in their control of the game: they average 16 shots, including 8 on target, compared with the hosts’ 8 attempts and 2 shots on target. Ammanford’s defence allows opponents 1.91 xG at home and concedes an average of 2 goals, whereas Connah's Quay allow their opponents just 0.88 xG and concede an average of one goal. The hosts are unbeaten in their only home match, which ended in a draw, but the overall quality indicators strongly favour an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS signal is clear, as Connah's Quay have seen both teams score in 100% of their matches this season, while the figure stands at 50% for Ammanford. Neither team has recorded a single match without scoring, with average goals scored of 3.5 for the hosts and 3.0 for the visitors. In their last five matches, Ammanford averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while Connah's Quay scored 2.4 and allowed 1.2 goals per game. Their attacking potential is confirmed by high xG figures: 2.18 for Ammanford and 2.08 for Connah's Quay this season, while both teams average 7.5 and 8.0 shots on target per match, respectively. The main risk to the pick is Ammanford's 50% clean-sheet rate, but the visitors have kept none, making it more likely that both sides will score at least once.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have gone over 1.5 goals in 100% of their matches so far, while the Over 2.5 line has also been covered in every game they have played. In their last five appearances, Ammanford’s matches averaged 3.2 goals, compared with 3.6 goals for Connah's Quay. The visitors create an average of 1.84 xG, while the hosts allow opponents 1.65 xG, which clearly supports the goalscoring outlook. Ammanford average 18 shots per match, while Connah's Quay average 16, including 7.5 and 8 shots on target respectively. Over 1.5 is the safest choice, as the projected 3.05 goals and both teams’ highly consistent results significantly reduce the likelihood of a match finishing with no more than one goal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Connah's Quay have a clearly stronger first-half profile in their last five matches: they were leading at the break in 60% of games, while Ammanford led after 45 minutes in only 20% and went into half-time trailing in as many as 60%. The visitors averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded before the break, whereas the hosts scored just 0.6 and conceded 1.0. Across the season, Connah's Quay have won 100% of their matches, averaging 3.0 goals scored and generating 2.08 xG, while allowing opponents just 0.88 xG. Ammanford have home advantage and a strong attacking xG of 2.18, but they have recently conceded an average of 1.4 goals per match, so the most likely outcome remains the visitors holding on to their lead until full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ammanford | Connah's Quay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.60 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Connah's Quay is 506% better for: last-5 form.
0.33 pts / match - Ammanford · 2 pts / match - Connah's Quay
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Connah's Quay is 233% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Ammanford · 3.33 goals / match - Connah's Quay
Connah's Quay is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Ammanford · 1 goals / match - Connah's Quay
Ammanford scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
Connah's Quay scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Ammanford keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ammanford
Over / Under - Connah's Quay
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Connah's Quay is 809% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.33 pts / match - Ammanford · 3 pts / match - Connah's Quay
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ammanford - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Connah's Quay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 67%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.33 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Average goals in match | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 33% |
| No goal | 67% | 67% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Average goals in match | 2.3 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 0% | 67% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ammanford
Connah's Quay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ammanford | Liga | Connah's Quay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.90 | ▲ 4.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 42% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 58% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 31% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 77% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
FAQ
What was the result of Ammanford vs Connah's Quay?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Ammanford 0:2 Connah's Quay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ammanford vs Connah's Quay?
Ammanford score 1.00 goals per game on average and Connah's Quay 3.33. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Ammanford's matches and 67% of Connah's Quay's.
What form are Ammanford and Connah's Quay in?
Over the last 5 games Ammanford have a 0-1-2 record (0.33 points per game) and Connah's Quay 2-0-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ammanford vs Connah's Quay?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.