Ammanford vs Penybont: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Ammanford vs Penybont: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ammanford play Penybont in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match date is 18 September 2026. Venue: Manor Road.
Current form
Ammanford: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Penybont: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ammanford scores 0.67 and concedes 2.56 goals per match. Penybont scores 1.67 and concedes 0.78. League average: 3.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ammanford 44%, Penybont 56%. Over 2.5: Ammanford 56%, Penybont 56%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Penybont has higher xG: 1.32 vs 0.71. Ammanford: 5.2 shots per match, Penybont: 10.4.
Match halves
Ammanford: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.44. Penybont: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Ammanford: 46-60 (2 goals). Penybont: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 3.23 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ammanford | Penybont | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Penybont is 450% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Ammanford · 2.2 pts / match - Penybont
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Penybont is 149% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Ammanford · 1.67 goals / match - Penybont
Penybont is 228% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.56 goals / match - Ammanford · 0.78 goals / match - Penybont
Ammanford scores in 44% of matches (4 of 9 matches), while Penybont keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).
Penybont scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Ammanford keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ammanford
Over / Under - Penybont
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Penybont is 430% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.44 pts / match - Ammanford · 2.33 pts / match - Penybont
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ammanford - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Penybont - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ammanford
Penybont
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ammanford | Liga | Penybont | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.22 | 3.23 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 49% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 61% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 26% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 79% | • 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 85% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Ammanford and Penybont play?
Ammanford face Penybont on 18 September 2026 in Welsh Premier League at Manor Road. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ammanford vs Penybont?
Ammanford score 0.67 goals per game on average and Penybont 1.67. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Ammanford's matches and 56% of Penybont's.
What form are Ammanford and Penybont in?
Over the last 5 games Ammanford have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Penybont 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ammanford vs Penybont?
The statistical background for Ammanford vs Penybont — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.