Ammanford vs Penybont: match statistics
Ammanford vs Penybont: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ammanford played Penybont in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 18 September 2026. Venue: Manor Road. Final score: 1:5.
Current form
Ammanford: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Penybont: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ammanford scores 0.67 and concedes 2.56 goals per match. Penybont scores 1.67 and concedes 0.78. League average: 3.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ammanford 44%, Penybont 56%. Over 2.5: Ammanford 56%, Penybont 56%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Penybont has higher xG: 1.33 vs 0.73. Ammanford: 5.4 shots per match, Penybont: 10.6.
Match halves
Ammanford: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.44. Penybont: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Ammanford: 46-60 (2 goals). Penybont: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 3.23 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Penybont remain unbeaten after 8 league matches, with a record of 5 wins and 3 draws, and have collected 11 points from their last five games. Ammanford have failed to win any of their 8 matches, losing 6 times, and have conceded as many as 15 goals while scoring just 1 in their last five fixtures. At home, the hosts average only 0.5 goals, have failed to score in 75% of their matches and allow opponents 2.08 xG. Away from home, the visitors average 2 goals, create chances worth 1.68 xG and register 5.5 shots on target per match, compared with just 1 on-target effort for Ammanford. Penybont’s defence concedes 0.75 goals per away game and keeps a clean sheet in 50% of matches, making the visitors clear favourites.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS - No scenario is strongly supported by Ammanford’s poor current attacking form, with the hosts scoring just 1 goal in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.2 per game. Ammanford recorded BTTS in only 20% of their last five appearances, while their average xG over this period stands at just 0.60. Penybont concede an average of only 0.8 goals across their last 5 matches and have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games this season, further limiting the hosts’ chances of scoring. The visitors are considerably more dangerous in attack, creating an average of 1.52 xG and scoring 1.4 goals in their last 5 matches, so the most likely outcome is that Penybont score while Ammanford fail to respond. Although both teams have a 50% season-long BTTS rate, the current difference in form and the hosts’ very low attacking efficiency point more strongly towards BTTS - No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Penybont have a clear attacking advantage: they average 1.68 xG and 5.5 shots on target per match, compared with Ammanford’s 1.06 xG and 2.75 shots on target. The hosts’ last five matches are particularly alarming, as they have scored just 1 goal while conceding as many as 15, averaging 3.0 per match. Despite this, Penybont’s profile limits the risk of a very high-scoring game: the visitors concede an average of 0.75 goals, have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches, and Ammanford have not exceeded the 3.5-goal line in any match this season. Under 3.5 goals has landed in 100% of Ammanford’s matches and 75% of Penybont’s games, which is a stronger signal than the moderate 49% for Over 2.5 goals. The most likely outcome is a controlled 0:2 or 1:2 victory for the visitors, making Under 3.5 goals the preferred option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Penybont are in clearly superior current form: over their last five matches, they have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, remaining unbeaten, while Ammanford have scored just 0.2 goals per match and lost 80% of their games. The visitors were leading at the break in 60% of their last five outings, whereas the hosts were behind at half-time in as many as 80%; additionally, their half-time goal differences stand at +3 and -5, respectively. Penybont’s superiority is also evident in chance creation, with an average xG of 1.68 compared with Ammanford’s 1.06, while their numbers of shots on target are 5.5 and 2.75, respectively. After the interval, the hosts have failed to score in any of their last five matches and have conceded an average of 1.8 goals, which is why the most likely scenario remains a Penybont lead at the break followed by an away win at full time: 2/2.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ammanford | Penybont | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Penybont is 450% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Ammanford · 2.2 pts / match - Penybont
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Penybont is 149% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Ammanford · 1.67 goals / match - Penybont
Penybont is 228% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.56 goals / match - Ammanford · 0.78 goals / match - Penybont
Ammanford scores in 44% of matches (4 of 9 matches), while Penybont keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).
Penybont scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Ammanford keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ammanford
Over / Under - Penybont
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Penybont is 430% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.44 pts / match - Ammanford · 2.33 pts / match - Penybont
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ammanford - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Penybont - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ammanford
Penybont
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ammanford | Liga | Penybont | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.22 | 3.23 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 49% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 61% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 26% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 79% | • 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 85% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Ammanford vs Penybont?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Ammanford 1:5 Penybont. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ammanford vs Penybont?
Ammanford score 0.67 goals per game on average and Penybont 1.67. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Ammanford's matches and 56% of Penybont's.
What form are Ammanford and Penybont in?
Over the last 5 games Ammanford have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Penybont 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ammanford vs Penybont?
The statistical background for Ammanford vs Penybont — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.