Amora vs Caldas: match statistics
Amora vs Caldas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Amora played Caldas in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 12 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Amora: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Caldas: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Amora scores 0.92 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Caldas scores 0.96 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Amora 42%, Caldas 46%. Over 2.5: Amora 42%, Caldas 38%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Caldas has higher xG: 1.20 vs 0.98. Amora: 7.3 shots per match, Caldas: 8.9.
Match halves
Amora: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.54. Caldas: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Amora: 16-30 (7 goals). Caldas: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.21 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Caldas is the favorite due to markedly better form — in the last 5 matches the visitors averaged 1.4 points per game (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), while Amora has only 0.6 points per game in that period (1 win, 4 losses). Defensively Caldas is superior: they concede 1.09 goals on average away and keep a clean sheet in 45% of away matches, whereas Amora concedes 1.58 goals at home on average and has only 17% of home matches without conceding. Offensively Amora creates slightly more chances at home — 8.58 shots and 3.17 on target on average with xG 1.10 and 1.0 goal on average — while Caldas away produce 6.91 shots, 2.64 on target, xG 1.03 and 0.73 goals on average, so the home offensive edge is marginal. Amora has a low home win rate (17%) and a negative home goal difference (-7), whereas Caldas have a higher away win percentage (36%) despite a negative away goal difference (-4), which favors the visitors. Considering 1.4 vs 0.6 pts in the last 5 matches, Caldas’ better defense (1.09 vs 1.58 conceded) and 45% clean sheets, I tip the away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The main signal favoring "No" is Caldas' very low BTTS rate on the road — only 18% — and the fact that Caldas fail to score in 45% of away matches, which significantly reduces the likelihood of a Goal/Goal outcome. Amora at home has a high BTTS share (69%), offensive xG 1.35 and averages 10.54 shots per match, and scores 1.15 goals season-long, so the hosts have offensive potential. However, in the last 5 matches Amora scored only 0.6 goals on average and conceded 1.8, while Caldas average 0.8 goals per game in their last 5 (4 goals in 5 matches), so scoring form is weakened. Additionally, the league is characterized by a high proportion of clean sheets (63%) and a low average goals per game of 2.21, which further supports the No Goal scenario. Considering the dominance of signals reducing Caldas' scoring effectiveness (18% away BTTS and no goal in 45% of away games) versus Amora's offensive indicators, I assign 62% to No and 38% to Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG analysis indicates: Amora has xG_for 1.35 and xG_against 0.98, Caldas has xG_for 1.03 and xG_against 1.36; averaged expected goals are 1.36 for Amora and 1.01 for Caldas, total 2.37. A Poisson model with a total of 2.37 yields roughly a 69% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), about 42% for Over 2.5 and about 22% for Over 3.5, so the strongest signal is at Over 1.5. Seasonal stats support this: Amora at home has 77% of matches with at least 2 goals and 54% with Over 2.5, while Caldas away has 45% and 18% respectively, which increases the likelihood of two goals but reduces the probability of a very high-scoring game. Counterarguments are material: Caldas has 45% clean sheets away and in 18% of their away matches both teams scored, and Amora at home conceded 33 goals this season (1.23 per game) and in the last 5 fixtures scored 3 and conceded 9. Accordingly, I recommend a bet on Over 1.5 (the Over side) as the strongest signal, while Over 2.5 and 3.5 remain less likely.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-time statistics show Amora led at the break in only 8% of matches, while Caldas led in 27% and Amora was level at half-time in 46% of games. However, Amora holds an advantage in the second half: on average they score 0.85 goals after the break versus 0.36 for Caldas and concede 0.54 compared to 0.64 for Caldas, giving Amora a net +0.31 goals in the second half (0.85−0.54). Additionally, Amora has higher xG (1.35 versus 1.03) and more shots and shots on target (10.54 and 3.54 versus 6.91 and 2.64), so they create more opportunities for a turnaround. On this basis the strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time (X/1), which is why I assign the highest probability to that outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Amora | Caldas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Caldas is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Amora · 1.4 pts / match - Caldas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Caldas is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Amora · 1.17 goals / match - Caldas
Amora scores in 58% of matches (14 of 24 matches), while Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
Caldas scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while Amora keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Amora
Over / Under - Caldas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Amora is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Amora · 0.92 pts / match - Caldas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Amora - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Caldas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Amora
Caldas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Amora | Liga | Caldas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.29 | 2.21 | • 2.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 48% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 42% | 39% | • 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 31% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 66% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Amora 1 - 0 - 2 Caldas. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Amora vs Caldas?
The Liga 3 match finished Amora 1:2 Caldas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Amora and Caldas?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Amora won 1, Caldas won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Amora vs Caldas?
Amora score 0.92 goals per game on average and Caldas 0.96. The Liga 3 average is 2.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Amora's matches and 46% of Caldas's.
What form are Amora and Caldas in?
Over the last 5 games Amora have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Caldas 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Amora vs Caldas?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Amora vs Caldas: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.