Amstetten vs Admira: match statistics

Amstetten hold a slight edge in terms of form: they have scored 6 goals and averaged 1.2 points per game across their last five matches, while Admira have scored just 2 goals and collected 0.8 points per game. The hosts have lost only once during this period, drawing three matches, whereas the visitors have suffered three defeats in their last five outings. The difference is also evident defensively, with Amstetten conceding 4 goals in their last five matches compared to Admira’s 6. The start of the season also favors the hosts: Amstetten drew their opening match 1:1, while Admira lost 0:1. The visitors’ low scoring output boosts Amstetten’s chances of securing a narrow win, although the hosts’ high number of draws leaves a clear risk of the points being shared.

The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, primarily due to Admira’s low scoring efficiency: they have scored just 2 goals in their last five matches, averaging 0.4 per game, while both teams scored in only 20% of those fixtures. Over the same period, Amstetten conceded an average of just 0.8 goals per match, further limiting the visitors’ chances of breaking through. The hosts do have a BTTS rate of 60% across their last five matches and created an average of 1.5 xG, but their opponent has scored fewer goals than suggested by its xG of 1.61. The league profile also supports a scenario in which at most one side scores, as BTTS occurred in only 13% of matches. The most likely outcome is therefore that Amstetten score, but Admira fail to add a goal of their own.

Amstetten’s latest five matches produced an average of 2.0 goals, with the team scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8 goals per game. Admira’s matches were slightly more open, averaging 1.6 goals scored and conceded combined, although Admira itself scored only 0.4 times per match. For both teams, only 40% of their last five matches went Over 2.5 goals, clearly limiting the likelihood of a very high-scoring game. At the same time, the average xG from their last five appearances—1.50 for the home side and 1.61 for the visitors—suggests approximately 2.30 goals rather than a goalless draw. Under 3.5 offers the strongest edge, as it takes at least four goals to lose this market, while the results data for both teams more often points to a scoreline in the 1-3 goal range.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an Amstetten win, as the hosts have averaged 1.0 goals scored after the break and conceded just 0.2 over their last five matches. During the same period, Admira averaged only 0.4 goals scored after half-time, while their record stood at 1 win and 3 losses in five appearances. The first halves of both teams have been low-scoring: Amstetten averaged 0.2 goals before the break, while Admira failed to score, with an average of 0.8 total goals in each team’s first half. The hosts also have superior current attacking output, averaging 1.2 goals across their last five matches compared with 0.4 for the visitors, increasing the likelihood of tipping a closely contested match in their favor after half-time.