Andijan vs AGMK: match statistics
Andijan vs AGMK: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Andijan played AGMK in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match was played on 12 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Andijan: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. AGMK: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Andijan scores 1.17 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. AGMK scores 0.83 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.40 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Andijan 17%, AGMK 50%. Over 2.5: Andijan 50%, AGMK 33%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
AGMK has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.32. Andijan: 10.5 shots per match, AGMK: 10.8.
Match halves
Andijan: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. AGMK: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Andijan: 76-90+ (3 goals). AGMK: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.40 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Andijan holds a clear advantage in home metrics: they win 67% of home matches, keep clean sheets in 67% of games and average 2.00 goals per match with an average xG of 1.52, whereas AGMK average just 0.67 goals away with an xG of 1.10. The hosts average 13.33 shots per game with 4.33 on target, while the visitors register 9.33 shots and 2.00 on target on the road; a conversion rate of 15% versus 7% further supports Andijan. Defensively Andijan looks stronger on the season (0.33 goals conceded at home per match versus 1.33 conceded by the visitors away), but note the drop in form — Andijan conceded 7 goals in the last 5 matches (1.4 per match), the same as AGMK, who also conceded 7 in their last 5. Despite recent defensive issues, the superior offensive metrics and quality of chances (xG 1.52 vs 1.10, higher volume of shots and shots on target) lead me to back the hosts with a 65% probability to win, 20% for a draw and 15% for an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I lean towards BTTS - Yes (62% vs 38%) — key signals are xG and the away defense's vulnerability. Andijan has a season BTTS of 67% and average xG of 1.57, while AGMK concedes high xG at 1.54, indicating the hosts will create chances against a weaker backline. Andijan records 4.67 shots on target and 12.33 shots per match with an 8% conversion rate, versus AGMK’s 2.0 shots on target and 9.33 shots with a 7% conversion, so Andijan has a realistic chance to score. The visitors have BTTS 60% in their last 5 matches and average 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, meaning AGMK can find the net too; counterbalancing that, Andijan’s last 5 show BTTS only 20% and a seasonal scoring rate of 1.0. Overall, Andijan’s lack of clean sheets (0%) and seasonal average goals conceded of 1.33 suggest a higher probability of both teams scoring, hence the 'yes' pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: Andijan’s attacking xG is 1.57 and xG conceded vs AGMK is 1.54, yielding an expected 1.56 goals for the home side; AGMK’s attacking xG is 1.10 with xG conceded vs Andijan 1.13, giving ~1.12 expected goals for the away side; total forecast is 2.68 goals. Using a Poisson model with mean 2.68, the probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) is ~75%, at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) ~50%, and at least 4 goals (Over 3.5) ~28%. Match stats confirm the home side’s offensive tilt: Andijan averages 4.67 shots on target and 12.33 shots overall, while AGMK has 2.0 shots on target and 9.33 shots; additionally Andijan has 0% clean sheets and 67% of its matches feature goals from both teams, whereas AGMK has 33% BTTS and 33% clean sheets. Seasonal Over 2.5 shares are only 33% for both teams against a league average of 46% and 2.4 goals per game, so the projected 2.68 is clearly above the league mean, which supports an Over stake—especially at the low line of 1.5. Conclusion: strongest signal is Over 1.5 (recommended), Over 2.5 is neutral (~50% chance), Over 3.5 is unlikely (~28%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time (X/X) — I assigned it 34% — because the home team draws 67% of their home matches, both teams have 4 points at the break and average 1.33 points at half-time, indicating balanced first halves. First-half goals are low: the home side averages 0.67 goals per match versus 1.0 for the visitors, and in the last five matches the home team had 0.6 goals at HT versus 1.0 for the visitors, which supports a low-scoring first-half scenario. The second-strongest option is draw at half-time and away win at full-time (X/2) at 20%, since the visitors average 1.0 point per match this season versus 0.67 for the hosts and have won 33% of matches, while the home team has no home wins (0%). At the same time the home side creates more chances (xG 1.57 vs 1.1 and shots on target 4.67 vs 2.0), so both-teams-to-score scenarios are realistic — therefore I gave 15% to 2/2 and 10% to 2/X. Overall, the parity of points at half-time, the high percentage of home draws (67%) and the low first-half goal average (0.67 vs 1.0) determine X/X as the best single option.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Andijan | AGMK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AGMK is 67% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Andijan · 1 pts / match - AGMK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Andijan is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Andijan · 0.83 goals / match - AGMK
Andijan is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Andijan · 1.33 goals / match - AGMK
Andijan scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while AGMK keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
AGMK scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Andijan keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Andijan
Over / Under - AGMK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Andijan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AGMK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Andijan
AGMK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Andijan | Liga | AGMK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.33 | 2.40 | ▼ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 17% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 46% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 29% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 68% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Andijan 1 - 0 - 1 AGMK. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Andijan vs AGMK?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Andijan 1:2 AGMK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Andijan and AGMK?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Andijan won 1, AGMK won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Andijan vs AGMK?
Andijan score 1.17 goals per game on average and AGMK 0.83. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 17% of Andijan's matches and 50% of AGMK's.
What form are Andijan and AGMK in?
Over the last 5 games Andijan have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and AGMK 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Andijan vs AGMK?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Andijan vs AGMK: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.