Andijan vs Navbahor: match statistics
Andijan vs Navbahor: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Andijan played Navbahor in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match was played on 7 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Andijan: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Navbahor: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Andijan scores 1.40 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Navbahor scores 1.40 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Andijan 20%, Navbahor 60%. Over 2.5: Andijan 60%, Navbahor 60%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Navbahor has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.37. Andijan: 10.8 shots per match, Navbahor: 14.0.
Match halves
Andijan: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.80. Navbahor: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
Andijan: 76-90+ (3 goals). Navbahor: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Home side Andijan possess a clear home advantage: an average of 3.0 goals scored per home match and 0.0 goals conceded, with 100% wins and 100% clean sheets at home. Visitors Navbahor show better overall form — 3 wins in the last 5 matches (60%) versus 2 wins for Andijan (40%) and 1.8 points per match in the last five compared to 1.2 for Andijan. In terms of quality of chances, Andijan’s home xG is 1.74 versus the visitors’ away xG of 1.46, and Andijan average 6 shots on target from 15.5 attempts (conversion 19%) while Navbahor average 4 shots on target from 12.33 attempts (conversion 14%). Defensively the hosts are impressive: 0.0 goals conceded per home match with an average xG against of 0.81, whereas Navbahor concede 1.0 goals on the road with xG against of 1.11. Considering the home dominance and superior chance conversion despite the visitors’ slightly better recent record, I project a home win 60%, draw 20%, away win 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project BTTS - Yes with a 65% probability vs 35% for No, as season-long data and the last 5 matches indicate goal exchanges. This season Andijan has BTTS 50% and Navbahor 67% (league average BTTS 45%), with Navbahor registering BTTS 60% in their last 5 matches vs Andijan's 20%. Andijan generates on average 1.63 xG, 15.5 shots and 4.5 shots on target, while Navbahor’s defense concedes about 1.11 xG — hosts therefore create genuine chances; concurrently Navbahor posts 1.46 xG and 12.33 shots against Andijan’s defense, which concedes an average 1.0 goals this season (xG against 0.72). Navbahor is significantly more clinical in finishing (conversion 14% vs Andijan 6%), both teams have 7 goals scored this season (Andijan has conceded 6, Navbahor 5), and Andijan have recorded zero clean sheets at home (0%), all of which further support the Yes scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG modeling and defensive profiles yield combined expected goals of 2.46: 1.37 for Andijan (xG attack 1.63 and opponent defense 1.11 → (1.63+1.11)/2=1.37) and 1.09 for Navbahor ((1.46+0.72)/2=1.09). Navbahor has 100% of season matches over 1.5 goals, Andijan 50%, which is a strong signal for exceeding the 1.5 line (hence an 85% estimate). Navbahor is also more efficient in finishing chances: shot conversion 14% vs 6% for Andijan with averages of 15.5 and 12.33 shots per match (total 27.83) and 4.5 and 4.0 shots on target, which increases goal probability. The expected 2.46 comfortably exceeds 1.5 and is close to the 2.5 line (therefore Over 2.5 has moderate support ~60%), while Over 3.5 is unlikely (0% season rate for both teams → I rate it at 10%). Based on this, I recommend the strongest play as Over 1.5 (line 1.5, side Over).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Forecast: the most likely scenario is Andijan leading at the break, with Navbahor winning at full-time (HT/FT 1/2). The home side have led at half-time in 50% of their home matches and conceded no goals before the break (average 0.0 goals conceded), with xG of 1.63 versus the visitors' 1.46 and 15.5 shots created versus Navbahor’s 12.33. However, Andijan register no shots on average in the second half (0.0) and concede 1.0 goal after the break, while Navbahor score an average of 0.67 goals post-break and record 33% of their wins in the second half and 67% of wins across the season. Additionally, the visitors are more efficient in finishing (conversion rate 14% versus the hosts’ 6%), which increases the likelihood of a turnaround after half-time; therefore HT/FT 1/2 receives the largest stake, with 1/X and X/2 as realistic alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Andijan | Navbahor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Navbahor is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Andijan · 1.8 pts / match - Navbahor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Navbahor is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Andijan · 1 goals / match - Navbahor
Andijan scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Navbahor keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
Navbahor scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Andijan keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Andijan
Over / Under - Navbahor
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Navbahor is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Andijan · 1.8 pts / match - Navbahor
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Andijan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Navbahor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Andijan
Navbahor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Andijan | Liga | Navbahor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.60 | 2.48 | • 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 20% | 45% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 50% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 30% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 69% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 79% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Andijan 0 - 1 - 1 Navbahor. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Andijan vs Navbahor?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Andijan 0:1 Navbahor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Andijan and Navbahor?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Andijan won 0, Navbahor won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Andijan vs Navbahor?
Andijan score 1.40 goals per game on average and Navbahor 1.40. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Andijan's matches and 60% of Navbahor's.
What form are Andijan and Navbahor in?
Over the last 5 games Andijan have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Navbahor 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Andijan vs Navbahor?
The statistical background for Andijan vs Navbahor — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.