Angers SCO vs Lille: match statistics

Angers SCO rank 1st in the home standings, while Lille are 7th in the away rankings. In their last five matches, Angers won 4 times and scored 12 goals, averaging 2.4 points per game. Lille scored slightly more over the same period, with 13 goals, but won only 2 of their 5 matches and drew twice, averaging 1.6 points. Both teams conceded 8 goals in their last five outings, so neither defence provides a strong argument in favour of either side. Angers’ advantage primarily stems from their significantly greater ability to turn a strong run of form into victories, as well as home advantage, although Lille’s attacking potential increases the risk of a draw or an upset.

Recent form clearly supports goals at both ends: Angers recorded BTTS in 5 of their last 5 matches, while Lille did so in 4 of 5. Both teams have been effective, with Angers averaging 2.4 goals and Lille 2.6 goals per match over this period. At the same time, both sides conceded 1.6 goals per game, increasing the likelihood that even the losing team will find a response. Lille generated the higher xG, 1.62 compared with Angers’ 1.04, but the hosts are playing at home and have also scored regularly. Angers’ low xG against of 0.26 is a note of caution, but the 8 goals conceded in their last 5 matches and Angers’ perfect BTTS record support the BTTS - Yes pick.

Both teams are in clearly strong goalscoring form: Angers have scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches, while Lille have scored 13, averaging 2.4 and 2.6 goals per game, respectively. Over the same period, each side conceded 8 goals, an average of 1.6 per match, while Angers’ games went Over 2.5 goals in 100% of cases, compared with 80% for Lille. Both teams have also scored very consistently in their last five rounds, as confirmed by BTTS rates of 100% for Angers and 80% for Lille. Although Angers’ average xG is only 1.04, Lille have created chances worth 1.62 xG per match, which is why the 2.75-goal line offers the strongest edge on Over 1.5.

Lille have a slight attacking edge over their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.6 goals compared with Angers’ 2.4, while both teams have conceded 1.6 goals per game. The visitors have averaged 1.0 goal before half-time, whereas Angers have conceded as many as 1.25 in this period, strengthening the scenario of Lille taking the lead at the break. Angers were trailing at half-time in 50% of their recent matches, the same percentage as Lille, although the hosts were ahead at the break in only 25% of those games. After the interval, both teams are effective, averaging 1.75 goals scored, but Lille have greater potential to preserve the lead established earlier. The 2/2 HT/FT outcome is therefore the most likely, although Angers’ strong second-half scoring record also increases the chances of the draw at half-time and Lille win scenario.