Annan Athletic vs East Kilbride: match statistics
East Kilbride demonstrates significantly better form and statistics this season. The visitors hold 2nd place in the table with a record of 11 wins and only 7 defeats, while Annan Athletic sits in 7th position with just 6 wins. East Kilbride shows impressive away efficiency with a 55% win rate and a positive goal difference (+5), while the hosts have a negative goal difference at home (-1). The recent form over the last 5 matches also favors the visitors – 1.8 points per game compared to 1.2 for the hosts. Annan Athletic does not win regularly at home (36% win rate) and is on a poor run with just one victory in their last five matches. All key indicators, including average goals scored (1.82 vs 1.73), shot conversion rate (21% vs 19%), and form, point to East Kilbride's advantage in this encounter.
Annan Athletic vs East Kilbride: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Annan Athletic played East Kilbride in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
Annan Athletic: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. East Kilbride: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Annan Athletic scores 1.27 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. East Kilbride scores 1.78 and concedes 1.48. League average: 2.97 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Annan Athletic 59%, East Kilbride 61%. Over 2.5: Annan Athletic 45%, East Kilbride 65%. League level: BTTS 68%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
East Kilbride has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.18. Annan Athletic: 8.1 shots per match, East Kilbride: 9.4.
Match halves
Annan Athletic: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.77. East Kilbride: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Annan Athletic: 76-90+ (11 goals). East Kilbride: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.97 goals per match, BTTS 68%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
East Kilbride demonstrates significantly better form and statistics this season. The visitors hold 2nd place in the table with a record of 11 wins and only 7 defeats, while Annan Athletic sits in 7th position with just 6 wins. East Kilbride shows impressive away efficiency with a 55% win rate and a positive goal difference (+5), while the hosts have a negative goal difference at home (-1). The recent form over the last 5 matches also favors the visitors – 1.8 points per game compared to 1.2 for the hosts. Annan Athletic does not win regularly at home (36% win rate) and is on a poor run with just one victory in their last five matches. All key indicators, including average goals scored (1.82 vs 1.73), shot conversion rate (21% vs 19%), and form, point to East Kilbride's advantage in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Annan Athletic | East Kilbride | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 51% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
East Kilbride is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Annan Athletic · 1.8 pts / match - East Kilbride
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
East Kilbride is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1.27 goals / match - Annan Athletic · 1.78 goals / match - East Kilbride
Annan Athletic scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while East Kilbride keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
East Kilbride scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while Annan Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Annan Athletic
Over / Under - East Kilbride
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
East Kilbride is 68% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - Annan Athletic · 1.83 pts / match - East Kilbride
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Annan Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
East Kilbride - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 48%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Annan Athletic
East Kilbride
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Annan Athletic | Liga | East Kilbride | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.73 | 2.97 | ▲ 3.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 59% | 68% | ▼ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 55% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | • 18% | 19% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 76% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 79% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Annan Athletic 2 - 0 - 0 East Kilbride. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Annan Athletic vs East Kilbride?
The League Two match finished Annan Athletic 2:4 East Kilbride. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Annan Athletic and East Kilbride?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Annan Athletic won 2, East Kilbride won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Annan Athletic vs East Kilbride?
Annan Athletic score 1.27 goals per game on average and East Kilbride 1.78. The League Two average is 2.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Annan Athletic's matches and 61% of East Kilbride's.
What form are Annan Athletic and East Kilbride in?
Over the last 5 games Annan Athletic have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and East Kilbride 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Annan Athletic vs East Kilbride?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.