Scotland - League TwoGalabankData current as of 15 October 2026

Annan Athletic vs Stirling Albion: match statistics

Annan Athletic vs Stirling Albion: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Annan Athletic played Stirling Albion in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Venue: Galabank. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Annan Athletic: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Stirling Albion: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Annan Athletic scores 1.13 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Stirling Albion scores 1.25 and concedes 2.75. League average: 3.48 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Annan Athletic 38%, Stirling Albion 50%. Over 2.5: Annan Athletic 38%, Stirling Albion 63%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 65%.

xG, shots and style

xG is very similar for both teams. Annan Athletic: 7.6 shots per match, Stirling Albion: 7.4.

Match halves

Annan Athletic: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75. Stirling Albion: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Annan Athletic: 76-90+ (3 goals). Stirling Albion: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 3.48 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 65%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-3-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Annan Athletic are the favourites: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 9 goals and conceding just 3, while Stirling Albion have conceded as many as 15 over the same period. At home, Annan average 1.75 goals per match, while Stirling concede an average of 4.25 away from home and have lost all 4 such matches. The hosts also create slightly better chances, averaging 1.25 xG at home compared with the visitors’ 1.12 away, while opponents need fewer chances to threaten Stirling’s goal: their away xG against is 1.49, compared with Annan’s 1.11. Although Stirling have scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches, their away defensive record and the fact that they have failed to score in half of their away games point to a home win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

In their last 5 matches, Stirling Albion saw both teams score every time, averaging 2.2 goals scored but conceding as many as 3.0. Annan Athletic averaged 1.8 goals during that period, so the visitors’ defensive frailty gives the hosts a clear chance to find the net. The bigger question is whether Stirling will score, as Annan have conceded just 0.6 goals per match recently, while the visitors failed to score in 50% of their matches this season. Even so, the visitors’ recent scoring form and Annan’s xG of 1.16 chances conceded per match suggest Stirling could also get on the scoresheet. I therefore expect goals from both teams (BTTS - Yes), although this is a pick with only a moderate edge.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as every previous meeting between the two teams has gone over this line. Stirling Albion have conceded an average of 4.25 goals in the away matches analysed and 3.0 goals across their last five fixtures, increasing the chances of Annan Athletic scoring multiple goals. The hosts have averaged 1.8 goals in their last five matches, with an xG of 1.52, while the visitors have scored 2.2 goals but failed to find the net in half of the away matches analysed. The Over 2.5 goals line is less firmly supported: it has landed in 25% of the hosts' matches and 100% of the visitors' matches, so Over 1.5 goals offers the safer edge.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest signal points to Annan Athletic leading at the break and the home side winning: Stirling Albion were trailing at half-time in all 4 matches included in the season statistics, conceding an average of 2.75 goals before the break. Annan led at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Stirling conceded an average of 2.0 first-half goals over that period. The results record also supports the lead being maintained: the hosts won 3 of their last 5 matches, compared with just 1 win for the visitors, while Stirling lost all 4 matches included in the season statistics. The visitors average 1.25 goals after the break, leaving some risk of a turnaround, but Annan concede only 0.25 goals per match in this half, compared with 1.5 for Stirling. Similar attacking xG averages—1.10 for the hosts versus 1.12 for the visitors—limit confidence in the prediction, but the clear difference in first-half results supports the 1/1 pick.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
7Shots14
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
2Shots on target5
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
1.15xG1.51
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
5Corners7
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
77Dangerous attacks39
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
12Fouls15
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
4Cards3
Annan AthleticStirling Albion

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Annan AthleticStirling Albion
1.13Goals scored / match1.25
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
1.25Goals conceded / match2.75
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
51%Average possession55%
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
3.63Shots on target / match4.5
Annan AthleticStirling Albion

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.63Shots per match7.38
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
3.63Shots on target4.5
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
14.8%Shot conversion16.9%
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
51%Possession55%
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
1.11xG for1.11
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
1.13xG against1.49
Annan AthleticStirling Albion

Shooting quality

Annan Athletic: Efficient finishingStirling Albion: Efficient finishing
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
Accuracy (shots on target)48%61%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Annan Athletic is 200% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Annan Athletic · 0.4 pts / match - Stirling Albion

Annan Athletic
LWLWL
Season result split
38% W0% D63% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-0-5
1.13 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Last 5 at home
2-0-2
LLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.09Opponent xG: 1.10BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Stirling Albion
DLLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
13% W25% D63% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-5
0.63 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-4
Last 5 away
0-0-4
LLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 3.2xG: 1.04Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Stirling Albion is 11% better for: goals scored per match.

1.13 goals / match - Annan Athletic · 1.25 goals / match - Stirling Albion

Annan Athletic is 120% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.25 goals / match - Annan Athletic · 2.75 goals / match - Stirling Albion

Annan Athletic scoring profile: very strong

Annan Athletic scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Stirling Albion keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).

Stirling Albion scoring profile: strong

Stirling Albion scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Annan Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).

9Goals scored (season)10
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
10Goals conceded (season)22
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
2.38Average goals in match4
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
5Goals scored (last 5)6
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
4Goals conceded (last 5)16
Annan AthleticStirling Albion

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal63%
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
38%2 goals50%
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
0%3 goals13%
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
0%4 goals0%
Annan AthleticStirling Albion

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal88%
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
38%2 goals75%
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
13%3 goals50%
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
13%4 goals25%
Annan AthleticStirling Albion

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time13%
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
25%Scored in both halves13%
Annan AthleticStirling Albion

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS25%
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
20%BTTS - last 560%
Annan AthleticStirling Albion

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
13%Min. 2 goals before half-time75%
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Annan AthleticStirling Albion

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
Annan AthleticStirling Albion

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Annan Athletic is 150% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.25 pts / match - Annan Athletic · 0.5 pts / match - Stirling Albion

Annan Athletic - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing
Stirling Albion - half-time state
13% leading13% draw75% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.25Points per match (1st half)0.5
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.25
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
0.38Goals conceded (1st half)1.88
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
0.75Average goals (1st half)2.13
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
63%Clean sheet before half-time13%
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
63%No goal before half-time75%
Annan AthleticStirling Albion

After half-time (2nd half)

1.38Points per match (2nd half)1.63
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)1
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
0.88Goals conceded (2nd half)0.88
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
1.63Average goals (2nd half)1.88
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
50%Clean sheet after half-time38%
Annan AthleticStirling Albion
38%No goal after half-time50%
Annan AthleticStirling Albion

Annan Athletic - second-half results

38% W25% D38% L
10
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Stirling Albion - second-half results

50% W13% D38% L
4
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-13
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-1.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Annan Athletic - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match0.61.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Stirling Albion - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.201.40
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match2.21.0
Average goals in match2.42.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet0%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-100
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Annan Athletic
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
3
16-30
2
0
31-45
2
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
3
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Stirling Albion
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
2
6
16-30
0
6
31-45
4
3
46-60
3
1
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.19
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-22%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
47%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Annan Athletic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
54%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Stirling Albion

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-1.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
132%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Annan AthleticLigaStirling Albion
Average goals in match▼ 2.383.48▲ 4.00
Both teams scored▼ 38%55%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 38%65%▼ 63%
Clean sheets▲ 38%23%▼ 13%
Goal before half-time▼ 63%85%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▲ 88%85%▲ 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.48
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
2.08
Home goals / match
1.40
Away goals / match
+49%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defence advantage
+37%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Stirling AlbionYellow cardDanny Dobbie
  2. Annan AthleticYellow cardAidan Smith
  3. Stirling AlbionGoalMurray Thomas
  4. Annan AthleticSubstitutionOn: Steven BuchananOff: Paul Smith
  5. Annan AthleticSubstitutionOn: Alistair RoyOff: Josh Dixon
  6. Stirling AlbionSubstitutionOn: Jordan AllanOff: Murray Thomas
  7. Stirling AlbionSubstitutionOn: Robin RaineOff: Robbie McNab
  8. Annan AthleticYellow cardKeith Watson
  9. Stirling AlbionYellow cardLee Hamilton
  10. Stirling AlbionYellow cardZeke Cameron
  11. Annan AthleticYellow cardCameron Clark

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Annan Athletic 0 - 3 - 1 Stirling Albion. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Annan Athletic FC
3 : 3
Stirling Albion FC
Stirling Albion FC
2 : 0
Annan Athletic FC
Annan Athletic FC
1 : 1
Stirling Albion FC
Stirling Albion FC
0 : 0
Annan Athletic FC

FAQ

What was the result of Annan Athletic vs Stirling Albion?

The League Two match finished Annan Athletic 0:1 Stirling Albion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Annan Athletic and Stirling Albion?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Annan Athletic won 0, Stirling Albion won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Annan Athletic vs Stirling Albion?

Annan Athletic score 1.13 goals per game on average and Stirling Albion 1.25. The League Two average is 3.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Annan Athletic's matches and 50% of Stirling Albion's.

What form are Annan Athletic and Stirling Albion in?

Over the last 5 games Annan Athletic have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Stirling Albion 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Annan Athletic vs Stirling Albion?

The statistical background for Annan Athletic vs Stirling Albion — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.