Annan Athletic vs Stranraer: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Annan Athletic played Stranraer in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 27 December 2025. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

Annan Athletic: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Stranraer: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Annan Athletic scores 1.29 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Stranraer scores 1.29 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.98 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Annan Athletic 59%, Stranraer 65%. Over 2.5: Annan Athletic 47%, Stranraer 53%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 58%.

xG, shots and style

xG is very similar for both teams. Annan Athletic: 7.8 shots per match, Stranraer: 8.5.

Match halves

Annan Athletic: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.82. Stranraer: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.47.

Goals by minute

Annan Athletic: 76-90+ (8 goals). Stranraer: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 58%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

2 : 2
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
Annan AthleticStranraer
11Shots12
Annan AthleticStranraer
7Shots on target8
Annan AthleticStranraer
1.64xG1.78
Annan AthleticStranraer
6Corners10
Annan AthleticStranraer
62Dangerous attacks64
Annan AthleticStranraer
13Fouls11
Annan AthleticStranraer
2Cards2
Annan AthleticStranraer

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Annan AthleticStranraer
1.29Goals scored / match1.29
Annan AthleticStranraer
1.59Goals conceded / match1.29
Annan AthleticStranraer
52%Average possession48%
Annan AthleticStranraer
3.59Shots on target / match4.12
Annan AthleticStranraer

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.82Shots per match8.47
Annan AthleticStranraer
3.59Shots on target4.12
Annan AthleticStranraer
16.5%Shot conversion15.3%
Annan AthleticStranraer
52%Possession48%
Annan AthleticStranraer
1.15xG for1.15
Annan AthleticStranraer
1.13xG against1.37
Annan AthleticStranraer

Shooting quality

Annan Athletic: Efficient finishingStranraer: Efficient finishing
Annan AthleticStranraer
Accuracy (shots on target)46%49%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Stranraer is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Annan Athletic · 2 pts / match - Stranraer

Annan Athletic
DLDWW
Season result split
29% W29% D41% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-7
1.18 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-3-2
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
WDDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 0.96BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Stranraer
LWWWD
Season result split
35% W24% D41% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-4-7
1.29 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-1-3
Last 5 away
4-1-0
WWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Stranraer is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.59 goals / match - Annan Athletic · 1.29 goals / match - Stranraer

Annan Athletic scoring profile: very strong

Annan Athletic scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Stranraer keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 matches).

Stranraer scoring profile: very strong

Stranraer scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Annan Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 matches).

22Goals scored (season)22
Annan AthleticStranraer
27Goals conceded (season)22
Annan AthleticStranraer
2.88Average goals in match2.59
Annan AthleticStranraer
8Goals scored (last 5)11
Annan AthleticStranraer
5Goals conceded (last 5)7
Annan AthleticStranraer

How often they score at least...

65%1 goal71%
Annan AthleticStranraer
35%2 goals35%
Annan AthleticStranraer
29%3 goals18%
Annan AthleticStranraer
0%4 goals6%
Annan AthleticStranraer

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal88%
Annan AthleticStranraer
35%2 goals29%
Annan AthleticStranraer
12%3 goals12%
Annan AthleticStranraer
12%4 goals0%
Annan AthleticStranraer

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

67%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time18%
Annan AthleticStranraer
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Annan AthleticStranraer
12%Scored in both halves24%
Annan AthleticStranraer

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
Annan AthleticStranraer
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Annan AthleticStranraer
80%BTTS - last 580%
Annan AthleticStranraer

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time59%
Annan AthleticStranraer
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
Annan AthleticStranraer
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
Annan AthleticStranraer

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
Annan AthleticStranraer
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
Annan AthleticStranraer
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
Annan AthleticStranraer

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Stranraer is 71% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Annan Athletic · 1.71 pts / match - Stranraer

Annan Athletic - half-time state
24% leading29% draw47% trailing
Stranraer - half-time state
41% leading47% draw12% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.71
Annan AthleticStranraer
0.47Goals scored (1st half)0.82
Annan AthleticStranraer
0.88Goals conceded (1st half)0.29
Annan AthleticStranraer
1.35Average goals (1st half)1.12
Annan AthleticStranraer
35%Clean sheet before half-time71%
Annan AthleticStranraer
71%No goal before half-time53%
Annan AthleticStranraer

After half-time (2nd half)

1.41Points per match (2nd half)0.65
Annan AthleticStranraer
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)0.47
Annan AthleticStranraer
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Annan AthleticStranraer
1.53Average goals (2nd half)1.47
Annan AthleticStranraer
47%Clean sheet after half-time29%
Annan AthleticStranraer
53%No goal after half-time53%
Annan AthleticStranraer

Annan Athletic - second-half results

35% W35% D29% L
17
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Stranraer - second-half results

6% W47% D47% L
29
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding85%

Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 35%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Annan Athletic - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.80
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.2
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Stranraer - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.600.40
Goals scored / match1.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match2.01.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+8-4
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 9

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Annan Athletic
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
3
4
16-30
1
6
31-45
3
4
46-60
3
4
61-75
8
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Stranraer
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
4
0
16-30
7
4
31-45
4
4
46-60
1
6
61-75
3
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.73
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-63%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
46%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Annan Athletic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.46
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.42
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

Stranraer

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.71
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Annan AthleticLigaStranraer
Average goals in match 2.882.98 2.59
Both teams scored 59%67% 65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%58% 53%
Clean sheets 12%19% 12%
Goal before half-time 76%76% 59%
Goal after half-time 76%78% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.98
Average goals per match
67%
Both teams scored
58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
19%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / match
1.58
Away goals / match
+-11%
Home attack advantage
+-13%
Home defence advantage
+-6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Annan AthleticGoalMiles GaffneyAssist: Josh Todd
  2. Annan AthleticYellow cardGio Clarke
  3. StranraerGoalMark Russell
  4. Annan AthleticGoalAidan SmithAssist: Willie Gibson
  5. StranraerYellow cardFinn Ecrepont
  6. StranraerGoalDeryn Lang
  7. Annan AthleticYellow cardKeith Watson
  8. StranraerSubstitutionOn: Jordan StuartOff: Mark Russell
  9. Annan AthleticSubstitutionOn: Zander CraikOff: Josh Dixon
  10. Annan AthleticSubstitutionOn: Gravine KalalaOff: Miles Gaffney
  11. StranraerYellow cardSean Docherty

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Cameron StirlingMatches officiated: 10
4Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 220%Home wins30%Draws50%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Annan Athletic 1 - 0 - 0 Stranraer. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Stranraer FC
0 : 1
Annan Athletic FC

FAQ

What was the result of Annan Athletic vs Stranraer?

The League Two match finished Annan Athletic 2:2 Stranraer. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Annan Athletic vs Stranraer?

Annan Athletic score 1.29 goals per game on average and Stranraer 1.29. The League Two average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Annan Athletic's matches and 65% of Stranraer's.

What form are Annan Athletic and Stranraer in?

Over the last 5 games Annan Athletic have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Stranraer 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Annan Athletic vs Stranraer?

The statistical background for Annan Athletic vs Stranraer — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.