Ansan Greeners vs Asan Mugunghwa: match statistics
Ansan Greeners vs Asan Mugunghwa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ansan Greeners played Asan Mugunghwa in K League 2 (South Korea). The match was played on 5 April 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Ansan Greeners: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Asan Mugunghwa: 2-0-2, 1.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ansan Greeners scores 1.60 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Asan Mugunghwa scores 1.75 and concedes 1.75. League average: 2.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ansan Greeners 100%, Asan Mugunghwa 75%. Over 2.5: Ansan Greeners 60%, Asan Mugunghwa 75%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Asan Mugunghwa has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.34. Ansan Greeners: 10.6 shots per match, Asan Mugunghwa: 10.5.
Match halves
Ansan Greeners: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. Asan Mugunghwa: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Ansan Greeners: 31-45+ (2 goals). Asan Mugunghwa: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
K League 2: 2.89 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-3. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ansan Greeners have yet to win at home (0% home wins) and have lost 67% of home fixtures, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per game with home xG against of 1.99, indicating serious defensive issues. Asan Mugunghwa are in better form — 3 wins in their last 5 matches and 1.8 points per game over that span, with 9 goals scored, while the hosts have 1 win and 1.0 PPG in their last five. Both teams average roughly 1 goal per game (Ansan 1, Asan 1), but Ansan produce more shots (9 vs 6) and more shots on target (3.33 vs 1.0), whereas Asan convert chances more efficiently (17% conversion vs hosts' 11%). Additionally, the average total goals per match is 3 and neither side records clean sheets in the stats, so I expect an open game with goals. Given the hosts' poor defense (avg. 2 goals conceded at home and xG against 1.99) and the visitors' superior efficiency and form, I favor an Asan Mugunghwa win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
A strong signal for BTTS - Yes is that hosts Ansan Greeners have a season BTTS rate of 67%, while visitors Asan Mugunghwa sit at 100%. In the hosts’ last 5 matches BTTS was 100%, for the visitors 80%, and the two teams combined scored 17 goals in those runs (8 for Ansan Greeners and 9 for Asan Mugunghwa). In terms of quality of chances Ansan averages xG 1.46 and 4.67 shots on target per match, whereas Asan posts xG 1.02 and only 1.0 shot on target, yet still averages 1.8 goals over the last 5 fixtures. Defensively both teams are vulnerable — Ansan concedes 1.67 goals per match, Asan 2.0, and the visitors have no clean sheet this season (0%), which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. Considering these figures along with the league BTTS level of 63% and high Over2.5 rates (67% for hosts, 100% for visitors), I forecast 85% for BTTS - Yes and 15% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG- and opposition-defence-based model projects 1.34 goals for Ansan Greeners and 1.22 for Asan Mugunghwa, totaling 2.56 goals. Ansan generates substantially more chances — averaging 12.0 shots and 4.67 shots on target with xG 1.46 — while Asan records 6.0 shots, 1.0 on target and xG 1.02, indicating a home-side advantage in chance creation. Seasonal rates show a clear scoring tendency: Ansan has 67% of matches over 1.5 and 67% over 2.5, Asan has 100% in both categories, and in the last 5 fixtures Over2.5 occurred in 60% (Ansan) and 80% (Asan); BTTS is 100% for Asan and 67% for Ansan. Given the combined expected 2.56 goals, the high proportion of Over2.5 matches and Ansan’s dominance in shots, the strongest and safest play is over 1.5 (estimated 88% probability).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Ansan as hosts average 2.0 points per match and win 67% of games, while Asan averages 0.0 points per match and 0% wins, giving a clear home advantage. At half-time Ansan averages 1.0 goal (6 total first-half goals) versus 0.0 goals (1 first-half goal) for Asan, and the hosts scored 3 of those goals in minutes 31–45, so a lead at the break for the hosts is likely. Ansan averages 12 shots and 4.67 on target with an xG of 1.46, while Asan have 6 shots, 1.0 on target and an xG of 1.02, with the same conversion rate of 17% — the hosts therefore create far more chances. In the second half the differences are smaller (on average 1.67 goals for hosts vs 2.0 for guests), but Asan concede on average 1.0 goal after the break compared to 0.67 for Ansan, which limits the guests’ chances of a successful turnaround. Considering the hosts’ 6 first-half goals versus the guests’ 1, the advantage in shots on target and higher xG, the most likely scenario is Ansan leading at half-time and winning the match (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ansan Greeners | Asan Mugunghwa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Asan Mugunghwa is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Ansan Greeners · 1.5 pts / match - Asan Mugunghwa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Asan Mugunghwa is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - Ansan Greeners · 1.75 goals / match - Asan Mugunghwa
Ansan Greeners is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Ansan Greeners · 1.75 goals / match - Asan Mugunghwa
Ansan Greeners scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Asan Mugunghwa keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
Asan Mugunghwa scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Ansan Greeners keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ansan Greeners
Over / Under - Asan Mugunghwa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Asan Mugunghwa is 150% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.4 pts / match - Ansan Greeners · 1 pts / match - Asan Mugunghwa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ansan Greeners - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Asan Mugunghwa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 25% |
| No goal | 25% | 25% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ansan Greeners
Asan Mugunghwa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 2).
Teams vs league
| Ansan Greeners | Liga | Asan Mugunghwa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.20 | 2.89 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 63% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 60% | 61% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 23% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 40% | 67% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Ansan Greeners 0 - 0 - 3 Asan Mugunghwa. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ansan Greeners vs Asan Mugunghwa?
The K League 2 match finished Ansan Greeners 2:3 Asan Mugunghwa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ansan Greeners and Asan Mugunghwa?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Ansan Greeners won 0, Asan Mugunghwa won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ansan Greeners vs Asan Mugunghwa?
Ansan Greeners score 1.60 goals per game on average and Asan Mugunghwa 1.75. The K League 2 average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Ansan Greeners's matches and 75% of Asan Mugunghwa's.
What form are Ansan Greeners and Asan Mugunghwa in?
Over the last 5 games Ansan Greeners have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Asan Mugunghwa 2-0-2 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ansan Greeners vs Asan Mugunghwa?
The statistical background for Ansan Greeners vs Asan Mugunghwa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


