Antalyaspor vs Alanyaspor: match statistics
Antalyaspor vs Alanyaspor: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Antalyaspor played Alanyaspor in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The match was played on 3 May 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Antalyaspor: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Alanyaspor: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Antalyaspor scores 0.97 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. Alanyaspor scores 1.19 and concedes 1.23. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Antalyaspor 52%, Alanyaspor 61%. Over 2.5: Antalyaspor 52%, Alanyaspor 45%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Alanyaspor has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.09. Antalyaspor: 9.6 shots per match, Alanyaspor: 12.6.
Match halves
Antalyaspor: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.55. Alanyaspor: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Antalyaspor: 76-90+ (7 goals). Alanyaspor: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Süper Lig: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a draw because Alanyaspor (12th) has a better season record (37 goals scored) than Antalyaspor (16th, 30 goals), while visitors draw 67% of away matches whereas hosts lose 53% of home games. Offensively the teams are comparable: Antalyaspor averages 1.4 goals at home with xG 1.26, and Alanyaspor scores 1.13 away with xG 1.28, indicating nearly equal quality of created chances. The hosts’ defense raises the most concerns — Antalyaspor concedes 2.2 goals at home on average (xG against 1.47) versus 1.47 conceded by Alanyaspor away (xG against 1.36), which increases the likelihood of goals. Hosts are more efficient from chances (13% conversion rate and 4.2 shots on target per home match vs 9% and 3.6 for the visitors), but have only 7% clean sheets and a negative home goal difference of -12, weakening their chances of a full win. Considering the low points yield in the last 5 matches (average 0.8 points for Antalyaspor and 0.4 for Alanyaspor) and the visitors’ high draw rate, I assess draw probability at 50%, and 25% each for home and away wins.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The Both Teams To Score scenario is favored primarily due to Alanyaspor’s very high away BTTS rate (80%) versus Antalyaspor’s 44% BTTS at home, yielding a simple seasonal average of about 62%. However, Antalyaspor records 50% clean sheets at home and in their last 5 home matches BTTS occurred in only 20%, which weakens the "yes" signal. On the other hand, both teams concede on average 1.6 (Antalyaspor) and 1.8 (Alanyaspor) goals in their last 5 matches, and offensive xG of 1.48 vs 1.28 with xG against of 1.14 and 1.36 indicates realistic chances of goals from both sides. Considering Alanyaspor’s 80% away BTTS, the league BTTS average of 54% and increased average concessions in the last 5 rounds, I assess the probability of BTTS at 60% (yes) vs 40% (no) and recommend the "yes" bet as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model gives Antalyaspor xG_for 1.48 versus Alanyaspor xG_against 1.36, translating to ~1.42 expected goals for the home side; similarly Alanyaspor xG_for 1.28 vs Antalyaspor xG_against 1.14 yields ~1.21 for the away side, total ≈2.63. A Poisson distribution with mean=2.63 implies P(Over 1.5) ≈74%, P(Over 2.5) ≈49% and P(Over 3.5) ≈27%. Season metrics confirm an offensive profile: Over 1.5 occurred in 63% of home matches and 87% of away matches, and Over 0.5 is 75% vs 93%; additionally Alanyaspor has BTTS 80% versus Antalyaspor 44%. Shot stats (13.19/4.44 for home vs 12.0/3.6 for away) and identical conversion rate 9% validate realistic goal-scoring potential for both teams. Therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (play: Over, line 1.5) with an edge of about 74%; Over 2.5 is near balance, and Over 3.5 remains unlikely (~27%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Antalyaspor led at the break in 44% of home matches, while Alanyaspor led at the break in 33% of games, and a half-time draw for the hosts occurs in 38% of cases. In the second half the hosts earn on average 1.56 points versus 0.93 for the visitors, and the goal difference in the second half is +1 for Antalyaspor versus -5 for Alanyaspor, which suggests maintaining or increasing the lead after the break. xG also favors Antalyaspor: the hosts have an xG of 1.48 for and 1.14 conceded, while Alanyaspor creates 1.28 and concedes 1.36, so the quality of chances speaks for the home side. The hosts average 4.44 shots on target per match versus 3.6 for the visitors and keep a clean sheet at half-time in 75% of matches, therefore the most likely scenario is Antalyaspor leading at the break and holding the win until full-time. On this basis I select HT/FT 1/1 as the most justified pick, although due to the hosts’ 38% half-time draws and Alanyaspor’s 80% BTTS rate I also allow X/1 and X/X as alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Antalyaspor | Alanyaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Alanyaspor is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Antalyaspor · 1 pts / match - Alanyaspor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Alanyaspor is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Antalyaspor · 1.19 goals / match - Alanyaspor
Alanyaspor is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.65 goals / match - Antalyaspor · 1.23 goals / match - Alanyaspor
Antalyaspor scores in 61% of matches (19 of 31 matches), while Alanyaspor keeps a clean sheet in 29% (9 of 31 matches).
Alanyaspor scores in 74% of matches (23 of 31 matches), while Antalyaspor keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Antalyaspor
Over / Under - Alanyaspor
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Alanyaspor is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / match - Antalyaspor · 1.52 pts / match - Alanyaspor
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Antalyaspor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Alanyaspor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 19%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Antalyaspor
Alanyaspor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| Antalyaspor | Liga | Alanyaspor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.61 | 2.63 | ▼ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 55% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 52% | 52% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 67% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 79% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Antalyaspor 0 - 1 - 0 Alanyaspor. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Antalyaspor vs Alanyaspor?
The Süper Lig match finished Antalyaspor 0:0 Alanyaspor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Antalyaspor vs Alanyaspor?
Antalyaspor score 0.97 goals per game on average and Alanyaspor 1.19. The Süper Lig average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Antalyaspor's matches and 61% of Alanyaspor's.
What form are Antalyaspor and Alanyaspor in?
Over the last 5 games Antalyaspor have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Alanyaspor 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Antalyaspor vs Alanyaspor?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Antalyaspor vs Alanyaspor: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.