Antalyaspor vs Gaziantep FK: match statistics
Analyzing the statistics of both teams, I predict a draw in this match. Antalyaspor presents a very poor home form with only a 25% home win rate and a goal difference of -10, conceding an average of as many as 2.25 goals per match. Gaziantep FK is also not in good disposition, recording only 0.4 points per game in their last five matches and failing to win any of them. Gaziantep's high percentage of away draws (42%) and the fact that both teams struggle with efficiency (low shot conversion rates) indicate an evenly matched, likely low-scoring game. The xG statistics for both teams are close (1.18 vs 1.1), which confirms the superiority of the draw scenario. The poor form of both teams in recent matches further supports the thesis of a sharing of points.
Antalyaspor vs Gaziantep FK: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Antalyaspor played Gaziantep FK in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The match was played on 13 March 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Antalyaspor: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Gaziantep FK: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Antalyaspor scores 0.96 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Gaziantep FK scores 1.24 and concedes 1.64. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Antalyaspor 56%, Gaziantep FK 60%. Over 2.5: Antalyaspor 52%, Gaziantep FK 64%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Gaziantep FK has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.00. Antalyaspor: 8.6 shots per match, Gaziantep FK: 13.0.
Match halves
Antalyaspor: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.48. Gaziantep FK: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Antalyaspor: 31-45+ (5 goals). Gaziantep FK: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Süper Lig: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Analyzing the statistics of both teams, I predict a draw in this match. Antalyaspor presents a very poor home form with only a 25% home win rate and a goal difference of -10, conceding an average of as many as 2.25 goals per match. Gaziantep FK is also not in good disposition, recording only 0.4 points per game in their last five matches and failing to win any of them. Gaziantep's high percentage of away draws (42%) and the fact that both teams struggle with efficiency (low shot conversion rates) indicate an evenly matched, likely low-scoring game. The xG statistics for both teams are close (1.18 vs 1.1), which confirms the superiority of the draw scenario. The poor form of both teams in recent matches further supports the thesis of a sharing of points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Antalyaspor | Gaziantep FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gaziantep FK is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Antalyaspor · 1 pts / match - Gaziantep FK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gaziantep FK is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
0.96 goals / match - Antalyaspor · 1.24 goals / match - Gaziantep FK
Antalyaspor is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.56 goals / match - Antalyaspor · 1.64 goals / match - Gaziantep FK
Antalyaspor scores in 64% of matches (16 of 25 matches), while Gaziantep FK keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 matches).
Gaziantep FK scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Antalyaspor keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Antalyaspor
Over / Under - Gaziantep FK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Antalyaspor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Gaziantep FK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Antalyaspor
Gaziantep FK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| Antalyaspor | Liga | Gaziantep FK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.52 | 2.59 | ▲ 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 56% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 50% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 28% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 67% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Antalyaspor 0 - 0 - 1 Gaziantep FK. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Antalyaspor vs Gaziantep FK?
The Süper Lig match finished Antalyaspor 1:4 Gaziantep FK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Antalyaspor vs Gaziantep FK?
Antalyaspor score 0.96 goals per game on average and Gaziantep FK 1.24. The Süper Lig average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Antalyaspor's matches and 60% of Gaziantep FK's.
What form are Antalyaspor and Gaziantep FK in?
Over the last 5 games Antalyaspor have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Gaziantep FK 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Antalyaspor vs Gaziantep FK?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.