Antalyaspor vs Sivasspor: match statistics

Antalyaspor have won 2 of their last 5 matches, while Sivasspor remain winless in five games and have scored just 3 goals during that period. At home, the hosts average 2.33 goals per match, whereas the visitors average only 0.50 away from home and have failed to score in 50% of such outings. Sivasspor have lost both of their away matches so far, conceding an average of 2.00 goals and allowing opponents an xG of 1.97. Antalyaspor also have defensive issues, having kept no clean sheets and conceding an average of 2.67 goals at home. However, their advantage in possession (57% compared to 47%) and significantly higher shot conversion rate, 21% versus 5%, favour the hosts. Both teams are expected to score, but Antalyaspor’s greater attacking potential should ultimately secure the victory.

Sivasspor have a clear problem in front of goal: they average only 0.5 goals away from home and just 0.6 over their last 5 matches. The visitors have failed to score in 50% of their games, while Antalyaspor have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their home fixtures and limit opponents to just 0.93 xG. Antalyaspor should create chances, as their home xG stands at 1.78, while Sivasspor concede an average of 2.0 goals away from home with an against xG of 1.97. Although the hosts have recorded BTTS - Yes in 60% of their last five matches, Sivasspor’s poor attacking efficiency and Antalyaspor’s solid defence provide stronger support for a BTTS - No scenario, meaning that at least one team will fail to score.

Antalyaspor creates chances worth an average of 1.78 xG at home and records 6.0 shots on target per match, while Sivasspor allows as much as 1.97 xG away from home and concedes an average of 2.0 goals. At the same time, the visitors score just 0.5 goals per game away from home, while Antalyaspor’s defense allows an average of 0.93 xG and has kept a clean sheet in 50% of matches. In their last five appearances, both teams averaged 2.8 goals combined, but only 60% of Antalyaspor’s matches and 40% of Sivasspor’s matches went Over 2.5 goals. Additionally, neither team has played a match with at least five goals, while 100% of Sivasspor’s away matches finished Under 3.5 goals. The projected scoreline of approximately 1.75:0.83 points to home dominance, but a result within the three-goal limit is more likely, making Under 3.5 the best option.

Antalyaspor have the stronger attacking potential, with average xG of 1.78 compared with Sivasspor’s 1.10, while the hosts average 6 shots on target per match against just 2 for the visitors. Sivasspor have lost both of their away matches so far, conceding an average of 2.0 goals and keeping no clean sheets, which strengthens the scenario of the hosts taking control. At half-time, Antalyaspor average 1.0 goal scored and 0.5 conceded, while their opponents record averages of 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, respectively. In their last five matches, the hosts were leading at the break in 60% of games, while Sivasspor have failed to win any of their last five fixtures and scored only 0.6 goals per match during that run. The most likely outcome, therefore, remains an HT/FT scenario in which Antalyaspor take the lead at the break and hold it until the final whistle: 1/1.