Anyang vs FC Seoul: match statistics

FC Seoul lead the table with 14 wins from 23 matches and a 39:19 goal difference, while Anyang have won 7 matches with a 30:30 goal difference. Away from home, the visitors win 67% of their matches and lose just 8%, whereas the hosts win only 18% of their home fixtures and draw as many as 45%. Seoul average 1.58 goals away from home with an xG of 1.52, while Anyang concede 1.36 goals per home match and have yet to keep a clean sheet. The visitors also exert clearer control over play, averaging 57% possession compared with Anyang’s 46%, and their defence allows just 0.75 goals per away match. Therefore, despite their weaker current run of form, an away win remains the most likely outcome.

BTTS - No is the preferred pick, as Anyang keeps a clean sheet in 55% of matches and concedes an average of just 0.91 goals, significantly limiting FC Seoul’s chances of scoring. Seoul scores an average of 1.58 goals and fails to score in only 17% of matches, but its last five games produced just 1.0 goal per match, with BTTS landing in 40% of cases. On the home side, the season BTTS rate is only 36%, well below FC Seoul’s 67% and the league average of 53%. Anyang’s recent form has been more open, with the team conceding 1.8 goals per match across its last five fixtures and recording BTTS in 80% of them. However, the hosts’ solid season-long defensive record makes the scenario in which at least one team fails to score more likely.

The strongest signal is FC Seoul’s low-scoring profile: only 17% of their matches went over 3.5 goals, while 83% ended with a maximum of three goals. Anyang has recorded 45% of matches above this line, but their defense concedes just 0.91 goals per game on average and keeps a clean sheet in 55% of appearances. The projected xG figures are around 1.43 for the home side and 1.17 for the visitors, producing a total of 2.60 goals and pointing more towards a scoreline such as 1:1, 2:0 or 2:1 than an open, high-scoring game. Anyang’s last five matches have been more goal-heavy, averaging 3.2 goals, but FC Seoul scored only 1.0 goal per game during this period, giving Under 3.5 a clear edge.

A draw at half-time is the most likely starting point: Anyang were level at the break in 45% of their matches, compared with 42% for FC Seoul, with averages of just 0.91 and 0.75 goals in the first halves, respectively. FC Seoul have a very solid pre-half-time defensive record, conceding only 0.08 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 92% of first halves, which limits the hosts’ chances of taking an early lead. At the same time, current first-half form clearly favours Anyang: the hosts scored 0.8 goals before the break in their last five matches, while the visitors failed to score in any of them and were trailing at half-time in 60% of those games. After the interval, Anyang typically improve, averaging 1.36 goals and winning the second half in 55% of matches, compared with FC Seoul’s 0.92 goals and 33% second-half win rate. Although FC Seoul have the better season record, averaging 2.25 points per match compared with 1.82, the visitors’ weaker recent run and Anyang’s post-break advantage support an HT/FT scenario of a draw at half-time followed by a home win: X/1.