APEA vs Ethnikos Latsion: match statistics
The match shapes up to be a tightly contested clash between two bottom-table sides struggling for form. APEA holds a poor home record with just a 14% win rate and a -6 goal difference, conceding an average of 2 goals per game. Ethnikos Latsion performs equally poorly on the road (29% win rate, -5 GD), yet boasts a superior shot conversion rate (10% vs 4%) and generates more shots on target (4.67 vs 3.8). Both teams share an identical clean sheet percentage (29%) and similar defensive frailties, suggesting goals are likely. Recent form over the last 5 matches is dismal for both squads (APEA: 1 point/match, Ethnikos: 0.4 points/match), pointing towards a draw as the safest scenario. The hosts' slight edge derives solely from home advantage, as their underlying statistics offer no guarantee of victory.
APEA vs Ethnikos Latsion: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
APEA played Ethnikos Latsion in Second Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
APEA: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Ethnikos Latsion: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
APEA scores 1.23 and concedes 1.62 goals per match. Ethnikos Latsion scores 0.85 and concedes 1.77. League average: 2.50 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: APEA 54%, Ethnikos Latsion 46%. Over 2.5: APEA 69%, Ethnikos Latsion 31%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
APEA has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.15. APEA: 8.4 shots per match, Ethnikos Latsion: 8.1.
Match halves
APEA: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.69. Ethnikos Latsion: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
APEA: 46-60 (4 goals). Ethnikos Latsion: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Second Division: 2.50 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match shapes up to be a tightly contested clash between two bottom-table sides struggling for form. APEA holds a poor home record with just a 14% win rate and a -6 goal difference, conceding an average of 2 goals per game. Ethnikos Latsion performs equally poorly on the road (29% win rate, -5 GD), yet boasts a superior shot conversion rate (10% vs 4%) and generates more shots on target (4.67 vs 3.8). Both teams share an identical clean sheet percentage (29%) and similar defensive frailties, suggesting goals are likely. Recent form over the last 5 matches is dismal for both squads (APEA: 1 point/match, Ethnikos: 0.4 points/match), pointing towards a draw as the safest scenario. The hosts' slight edge derives solely from home advantage, as their underlying statistics offer no guarantee of victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| APEA | Ethnikos Latsion | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
APEA is 150% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - APEA · 0.4 pts / match - Ethnikos Latsion
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
APEA is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
1.23 goals / match - APEA · 0.85 goals / match - Ethnikos Latsion
APEA is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.62 goals / match - APEA · 1.77 goals / match - Ethnikos Latsion
APEA scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Ethnikos Latsion keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
Ethnikos Latsion scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while APEA keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - APEA
Over / Under - Ethnikos Latsion
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
APEA is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - APEA · 0.85 pts / match - Ethnikos Latsion
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
APEA - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ethnikos Latsion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
APEA
Ethnikos Latsion
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second Division).
Teams vs league
| APEA | Liga | Ethnikos Latsion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.85 | 2.50 | ▲ 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 48% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 46% | ▼ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 31% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 65% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 78% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of APEA vs Ethnikos Latsion?
The Second Division match finished APEA 3:0 Ethnikos Latsion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before APEA vs Ethnikos Latsion?
APEA score 1.23 goals per game on average and Ethnikos Latsion 0.85. The Second Division average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 54% of APEA's matches and 46% of Ethnikos Latsion's.
What form are APEA and Ethnikos Latsion in?
Over the last 5 games APEA have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Ethnikos Latsion 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for APEA vs Ethnikos Latsion?
The statistical background for APEA vs Ethnikos Latsion — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.