APOEL vs AEK Larnaca: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely evenly matched, which justifies predicting a draw. AEK Larnaca is higher in the table (2nd place vs 6th place) and shows better form in the last five matches (1.8 PPG vs 1.4 PPG), however, APOEL has the home advantage and solid home statistics (50% wins, 40% clean sheets). A key factor is the similar average goals scored per match for both teams (1.7 goals), with the hosts generating higher xG values at home (1.94 vs 1.4 for the away team). AEK Larnaca has better shot accuracy (16% vs 11%), but APOEL dominates in possession (60% vs 53%) and takes more shots (15.8 vs 10.7). Considering that both teams have an identical percentage of matches without conceding a goal at their respective venues and a similar number of goals conceded, a tight, tactical battle ending in a share of the points is expected.
APOEL vs AEK Larnaca: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
APOEL played AEK Larnaca in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 8 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
APOEL: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. AEK Larnaca: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
APOEL scores 1.80 and concedes 0.85 goals per match. AEK Larnaca scores 2.00 and concedes 0.85. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: APOEL 50%, AEK Larnaca 55%. Over 2.5: APOEL 50%, AEK Larnaca 50%. League level: BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
APOEL has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.51. APOEL: 14.1 shots per match, AEK Larnaca: 12.1.
Match halves
APOEL: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.30. AEK Larnaca: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
APOEL: 76-90+ (14 goals). AEK Larnaca: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely evenly matched, which justifies predicting a draw. AEK Larnaca is higher in the table (2nd place vs 6th place) and shows better form in the last five matches (1.8 PPG vs 1.4 PPG), however, APOEL has the home advantage and solid home statistics (50% wins, 40% clean sheets). A key factor is the similar average goals scored per match for both teams (1.7 goals), with the hosts generating higher xG values at home (1.94 vs 1.4 for the away team). AEK Larnaca has better shot accuracy (16% vs 11%), but APOEL dominates in possession (60% vs 53%) and takes more shots (15.8 vs 10.7). Considering that both teams have an identical percentage of matches without conceding a goal at their respective venues and a similar number of goals conceded, a tight, tactical battle ending in a share of the points is expected.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| APOEL | AEK Larnaca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AEK Larnaca is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - APOEL · 2.4 pts / match - AEK Larnaca
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEK Larnaca is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.8 goals / match - APOEL · 2 goals / match - AEK Larnaca
APOEL scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while AEK Larnaca keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
AEK Larnaca scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while APOEL keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - APOEL
Over / Under - AEK Larnaca
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AEK Larnaca is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / match - APOEL · 2.05 pts / match - AEK Larnaca
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
APOEL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
AEK Larnaca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
APOEL
AEK Larnaca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| APOEL | Liga | AEK Larnaca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.65 | 2.54 | ▲ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 37% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 34% | • 35% |
| Goal before half-time | • 70% | 70% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 81% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: APOEL 0 - 1 - 0 AEK Larnaca. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of APOEL vs AEK Larnaca?
The First Division match finished APOEL 1:2 AEK Larnaca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before APOEL vs AEK Larnaca?
APOEL score 1.80 goals per game on average and AEK Larnaca 2.00. The First Division average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 50% of APOEL's matches and 55% of AEK Larnaca's.
What form are APOEL and AEK Larnaca in?
Over the last 5 games APOEL have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and AEK Larnaca 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for APOEL vs AEK Larnaca?
The statistical background for APOEL vs AEK Larnaca — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.