Apollon vs Aris: match statistics
Apollon vs Aris: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Apollon played Aris in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Apollon: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Aris: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Apollon scores 1.38 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Aris scores 1.65 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Apollon 44%, Aris 44%. Over 2.5: Apollon 44%, Aris 56%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Aris has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.55. Apollon: 12.8 shots per match, Aris: 12.8.
Match halves
Apollon: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.74. Aris: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.94.
Goals by minute
Apollon: 61-75 (10 goals). Aris: 76-90+ (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-3. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back a home win for Apollon due to a clear home-field advantage: 65% home wins, averaging 1.65 goals scored and 0.94 conceded per match, with home xG 1.65 vs away xG 1.46. Aris averages only 1.06 goals away, concedes 1.24 and has 35% clean-sheet-less matches on the road vs 18% for Apollon at home, indicating greater finishing issues for the visitors. Apollon creates more chances (avg. 14 shots per home match vs 10.53 for Aris away) with the same number of shots on target (4.47) and a higher conversion rate 12% vs 10%. In the last 5 matches Apollon scored 6 goals and averages 1.4 points per game, Aris scored 4 and averages 1.2 points per game; additionally Apollon sits 3rd and Aris 6th, with goal differences +12 vs -3. Considering the xG advantage, lower average goals conceded (0.94 vs 1.24) and better chance-creation efficiency, I assign a 60% probability for an Apollon win, 22% for a draw and 18% for an Aris win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season statistics show Apollon scores 2.24 goals and concedes 1.00 per match, while Aris scores 1.06 and concedes 1.24; seasonal BTTS rates are 47% for Apollon and 41% for Aris (league average 43%), i.e. slightly below parity. From an xG perspective both teams create chances — Apollon has xG_for 1.87 vs Aris xG_against 1.13, and Aris has xG_for 1.46 vs Apollon xG_against 1.14 — however Apollon’s advantage in shots (15.0 vs 10.53) and shots on target (5.76 vs 4.47) increases the likelihood he will dominate offensively. A strong argument against BTTS is Apollon’s 47% clean sheets and Aris’s very low recent BTTS rate: 0% in the last 5 matches; in that same five Apollon scored 6 and conceded 5, while Aris scored 4 and conceded 7, suggesting Aris is not regularly involved in Goal/Goal matches. Additionally the league has 62% clean-sheet matches, and Apollon has 28% of matches over2.5 without BTTS, so although both sides can generate xG, the most likely scenario is one team keeping a clean sheet; therefore I recommend No BTTS as the stronger signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: Apollon has xG_for 1.87 while Aris xG_conceded 1.13, yielding expected home goals of ~1.50; conversely Aris xG_for 1.46 against Apollon xG_conceded 1.14 yields ~1.30, totaling ~2.80 goals. Season-long shares of matches >1.5 goals are 82% for Apollon and 82% for Aris, which is a strong signal in favor of Over 1.5 (hence the 86% forecast). Apollon averages 15.0 shots and 5.76 on target with a 15.0% conversion rate; Aris averages 10.53 shots and 4.47 on target with a 10.0% conversion, confirming both teams’ ability to create chances. Season percentages for Over 2.5 are 71% for Apollon and 41% for Aris, so I rate Over 2.5 as moderately likely (62%); Over 3.5 is less likely given 47% (Apollon) vs 12% (Aris), so I assign ~33% for Over 3.5. Considering the combined xG of 2.80, the high Over 1.5 shares on both sides (82%/82%) and the home side’s shooting activity, the best and strongest play is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 (Apollon leading at Half-Time and winning Full-Time) as the most likely scenario. Apollon led at the break in 9 matches (53% of games) and score on average 0.94 goals before Half-Time versus 0.47 for Aris, giving them a clear advantage in the first 45 minutes. Over the whole match the hosts average 2.24 goals and have a 59% home win rate with xG 1.87, compared to 1.06 goals per game and xG 1.46 for Aris; this increases the likelihood that a lead at the break will be maintained. Apollon average 15 shots and 5.76 on target (15% conversion) versus 10.53 shots and 4.47 on target for the visitors (10% conversion), and they keep a clean sheet at Half-Time in 65% of matches, so the risk of surrendering the lead before the break is low. Based on these figures the 1/1 scenario is the strongest statistically.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Apollon | Aris | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aris is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Apollon · 1.65 goals / match - Aris
Apollon is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Apollon · 1.12 goals / match - Aris
Apollon scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Aris keeps a clean sheet in 41% (14 of 34 matches).
Aris scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Apollon keeps a clean sheet in 41% (14 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Apollon
Over / Under - Aris
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Apollon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Aris - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Apollon
Aris
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Apollon | Liga | Aris | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.38 | 2.60 | ▲ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | • 44% | 43% | • 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 48% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 31% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 73% | • 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 79% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Apollon 0 - 0 - 3 Aris. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Apollon vs Aris?
The First Division match finished Apollon 3:2 Aris. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Apollon and Aris?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Apollon won 0, Aris won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Apollon vs Aris?
Apollon score 1.38 goals per game on average and Aris 1.65. The First Division average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Apollon's matches and 44% of Aris's.
What form are Apollon and Aris in?
Over the last 5 games Apollon have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Aris 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Apollon vs Aris?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Apollon vs Aris: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.