Apollon vs Paphos: match statistics
Paphos demonstrates significantly superior form as the table leader, boasting 11 seasonal victories and an impressive 30:10 goal difference. The visiting team stands out for their away efficiency—71% win rate, 18% shot conversion, and a 0% FTS rate on the road. Apollon occupies 6th place with a home goal difference of 0 and a high 43% home loss rate. The hosts' recent form is average (1.6 PPG), while Paphos maintains a solid 2.0 PPG. Although the xG statistics are close (1.47 for visitors vs 1.49 for hosts), the visitors' significantly better scoring efficiency points to a Paphos win. Given all metrics, I expect a decisive victory for the leader on the road.
Apollon vs Paphos: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Apollon played Paphos in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 4 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Apollon: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Paphos: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Apollon scores 1.13 and concedes 1.07 goals per match. Paphos scores 2.14 and concedes 0.71. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Apollon 27%, Paphos 43%. Over 2.5: Apollon 40%, Paphos 57%. League level: BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Paphos has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.46. Apollon: 11.7 shots per match, Paphos: 11.2.
Match halves
Apollon: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.93. Paphos: half-time lead 71%, second-half goals 1.14.
Goals by minute
Apollon: 76-90+ (7 goals). Paphos: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paphos demonstrates significantly superior form as the table leader, boasting 11 seasonal victories and an impressive 30:10 goal difference. The visiting team stands out for their away efficiency—71% win rate, 18% shot conversion, and a 0% FTS rate on the road. Apollon occupies 6th place with a home goal difference of 0 and a high 43% home loss rate. The hosts' recent form is average (1.6 PPG), while Paphos maintains a solid 2.0 PPG. Although the xG statistics are close (1.47 for visitors vs 1.49 for hosts), the visitors' significantly better scoring efficiency points to a Paphos win. Given all metrics, I expect a decisive victory for the leader on the road.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Apollon | Paphos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paphos is 63% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Apollon · 2.6 pts / match - Paphos
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paphos is 89% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Apollon · 2.14 goals / match - Paphos
Paphos is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.07 goals / match - Apollon · 0.71 goals / match - Paphos
Apollon scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Paphos keeps a clean sheet in 50% (7 of 14 matches).
Paphos scores in 93% of matches (13 of 14 matches), while Apollon keeps a clean sheet in 53% (8 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Apollon
Over / Under - Paphos
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paphos is 127% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - Apollon · 2.43 pts / match - Paphos
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Apollon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Paphos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 71% of matches and wins 79%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Apollon
Paphos
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Apollon | Liga | Paphos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.20 | 2.55 | ▲ 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 37% | ▲ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 48% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 35% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 71% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 81% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Apollon 1 - 0 - 0 Paphos. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Apollon vs Paphos?
The First Division match finished Apollon 2:1 Paphos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Apollon vs Paphos?
Apollon score 1.13 goals per game on average and Paphos 2.14. The First Division average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Apollon's matches and 43% of Paphos's.
What form are Apollon and Paphos in?
Over the last 5 games Apollon have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Paphos 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Apollon vs Paphos?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Apollon vs Paphos: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.