APR vs Musanze: match statistics
APR displays a decisive advantage in home games with a 70% win rate and an impressive +10 goal difference. In their last ten home matches, the hosts have recorded as many as eight wins and two draws, remaining undefeated. Musanze performs much worse in away games, with a 40% loss rate and only a 40% win rate, additionally failing to score in 40% of their away fixtures. The xG statistics also favor APR (1.39 vs 0.99), indicating a higher quality of created chances. Considering the hosts' solid defense (50% clean sheets) and Musanze's struggles with scoring consistency on the road, an APR victory is the most likely scenario.
APR vs Musanze: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
APR played Musanze in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
APR: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Musanze: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
APR scores 1.39 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Musanze scores 1.35 and concedes 1.04. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: APR 57%, Musanze 48%. Over 2.5: APR 48%, Musanze 39%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
APR has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.08. APR: 8.1 shots per match, Musanze: 6.0.
Match halves
APR: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.70. Musanze: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
APR: 31-45+ (9 goals). Musanze: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
APR displays a decisive advantage in home games with a 70% win rate and an impressive +10 goal difference. In their last ten home matches, the hosts have recorded as many as eight wins and two draws, remaining undefeated. Musanze performs much worse in away games, with a 40% loss rate and only a 40% win rate, additionally failing to score in 40% of their away fixtures. The xG statistics also favor APR (1.39 vs 0.99), indicating a higher quality of created chances. Considering the hosts' solid defense (50% clean sheets) and Musanze's struggles with scoring consistency on the road, an APR victory is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| APR | Musanze | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.49 | 0.60 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
APR is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - APR · 1 pts / match - Musanze
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
APR is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.83 goals / match - APR · 1.04 goals / match - Musanze
APR scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Musanze keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
Musanze scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while APR keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - APR
Over / Under - Musanze
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
APR is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / match - APR · 1.3 pts / match - Musanze
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
APR - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Musanze - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
APR
Musanze
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| APR | Liga | Musanze | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.22 | 2.08 | ▲ 2.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 45% | ▲ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 35% | ▲ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 34% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 62% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- APRGoalRonald Ssekiganda
- APRGoalWilliam Togui
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: APR 0 - 0 - 1 Musanze. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of APR vs Musanze?
The National Soccer League match finished APR 2:0 Musanze. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before APR vs Musanze?
APR score 1.39 goals per game on average and Musanze 1.35. The National Soccer League average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 57% of APR's matches and 48% of Musanze's.
What form are APR and Musanze in?
Over the last 5 games APR have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Musanze 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for APR vs Musanze?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for APR vs Musanze: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.