APS Bomet vs Gor Mahia: match statistics
Gor Mahia clearly outclasses APS Bomet in every statistical aspect. The hosts are in catastrophic home form with just a 13% win rate and a 63% loss rate at their own ground, conceding an average of 1 goal per game while scoring only 0.38. The visitors, on the other hand, display excellent away form – a 67% win rate, 67% clean sheets, and an impressive 'wwwwdd' streak in their recent away matches. Gor Mahia also dominates in ball possession (53% vs 48%), shot accuracy (4 vs 2.38 on target per match), and goal difference (+7 vs -5). Additionally, the visitors have yet to suffer an away defeat this season (0% Loss%), which, combined with the hosts' poor form, gives them a significant advantage. All indicators point to a certain Gor Mahia victory.
APS Bomet vs Gor Mahia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
APS Bomet played Gor Mahia in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 8 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
APS Bomet: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Gor Mahia: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
APS Bomet scores 1.11 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Gor Mahia scores 1.63 and concedes 0.68. League average: 2.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: APS Bomet 58%, Gor Mahia 37%. Over 2.5: APS Bomet 47%, Gor Mahia 37%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Gor Mahia has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.14. APS Bomet: 6.8 shots per match, Gor Mahia: 10.3.
Match halves
APS Bomet: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.21. Gor Mahia: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
APS Bomet: 0-15 (16 goals). Gor Mahia: 0-15 (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.01 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Gor Mahia clearly outclasses APS Bomet in every statistical aspect. The hosts are in catastrophic home form with just a 13% win rate and a 63% loss rate at their own ground, conceding an average of 1 goal per game while scoring only 0.38. The visitors, on the other hand, display excellent away form – a 67% win rate, 67% clean sheets, and an impressive 'wwwwdd' streak in their recent away matches. Gor Mahia also dominates in ball possession (53% vs 48%), shot accuracy (4 vs 2.38 on target per match), and goal difference (+7 vs -5). Additionally, the visitors have yet to suffer an away defeat this season (0% Loss%), which, combined with the hosts' poor form, gives them a significant advantage. All indicators point to a certain Gor Mahia victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| APS Bomet | Gor Mahia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gor Mahia is 450% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - APS Bomet · 2.2 pts / match - Gor Mahia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gor Mahia is 47% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - APS Bomet · 1.63 goals / match - Gor Mahia
Gor Mahia is 109% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.42 goals / match - APS Bomet · 0.68 goals / match - Gor Mahia
APS Bomet scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Gor Mahia keeps a clean sheet in 53% (10 of 19 matches).
Gor Mahia scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while APS Bomet keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - APS Bomet
Over / Under - Gor Mahia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gor Mahia is 83% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - APS Bomet · 1.63 pts / match - Gor Mahia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
APS Bomet - second-half results
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Gor Mahia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (16 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (19 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
APS Bomet
Gor Mahia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| APS Bomet | Liga | Gor Mahia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.53 | 2.01 | ▲ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 44% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 33% | ▲ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 35% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 16% | 29% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 37% | 31% | ▲ 42% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: APS Bomet 1 - 0 - 0 Gor Mahia. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of APS Bomet vs Gor Mahia?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished APS Bomet 1:2 Gor Mahia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before APS Bomet vs Gor Mahia?
APS Bomet score 1.11 goals per game on average and Gor Mahia 1.63. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 58% of APS Bomet's matches and 37% of Gor Mahia's.
What form are APS Bomet and Gor Mahia in?
Over the last 5 games APS Bomet have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Gor Mahia 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for APS Bomet vs Gor Mahia?
The statistical background for APS Bomet vs Gor Mahia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.