APS Bomet vs TransMara Sugar: match statistics
TransMara Sugar displays significantly better form both in away matches and overall. The visitors hold an impressive 40% away win rate and have not lost a single away match this season (0% losses), while APS Bomet wins only 13% of their home games and loses as many as 63%. TransMara Sugar scores an average of 1.2 goals per away match and has a positive goal difference (+2), whereas the hosts average a mere 0.38 goals in home matches with a goal difference of -5. Form over the last five matches also favors the visitors (1.4 points per match vs 1.0 for the hosts). Additionally, TransMara Sugar has higher shots on target efficiency (4.25 vs 2.38) and fails to score less frequently (20% vs 63%). All key indicators point to an advantage for the visitors, although APS Bomet's poor home performance combined with TransMara Sugar's solid defense could also lead to a draw.
APS Bomet vs TransMara Sugar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
APS Bomet played TransMara Sugar in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 11 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
APS Bomet: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. TransMara Sugar: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
APS Bomet scores 1.00 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. TransMara Sugar scores 0.80 and concedes 0.73. League average: 1.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: APS Bomet 47%, TransMara Sugar 33%. Over 2.5: APS Bomet 40%, TransMara Sugar 20%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
TransMara Sugar has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.13. APS Bomet: 6.3 shots per match, TransMara Sugar: 11.5.
Match halves
APS Bomet: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.20. TransMara Sugar: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
APS Bomet: 0-15 (11 goals). TransMara Sugar: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 1.94 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
TransMara Sugar displays significantly better form both in away matches and overall. The visitors hold an impressive 40% away win rate and have not lost a single away match this season (0% losses), while APS Bomet wins only 13% of their home games and loses as many as 63%. TransMara Sugar scores an average of 1.2 goals per away match and has a positive goal difference (+2), whereas the hosts average a mere 0.38 goals in home matches with a goal difference of -5. Form over the last five matches also favors the visitors (1.4 points per match vs 1.0 for the hosts). Additionally, TransMara Sugar has higher shots on target efficiency (4.25 vs 2.38) and fails to score less frequently (20% vs 63%). All key indicators point to an advantage for the visitors, although APS Bomet's poor home performance combined with TransMara Sugar's solid defense could also lead to a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| APS Bomet | TransMara Sugar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 23% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
TransMara Sugar is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - APS Bomet · 1.4 pts / match - TransMara Sugar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
APS Bomet is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - APS Bomet · 0.8 goals / match - TransMara Sugar
TransMara Sugar is 74% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.27 goals / match - APS Bomet · 0.73 goals / match - TransMara Sugar
APS Bomet scores in 53% of matches (8 of 15 matches), while TransMara Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 matches).
TransMara Sugar scores in 53% of matches (8 of 15 matches), while APS Bomet keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - APS Bomet
Over / Under - TransMara Sugar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
TransMara Sugar is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.87 pts / match - APS Bomet · 0.93 pts / match - TransMara Sugar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
APS Bomet - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
TransMara Sugar - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
APS Bomet
TransMara Sugar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| APS Bomet | Liga | TransMara Sugar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.27 | 1.94 | ▼ 1.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 41% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 31% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 38% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 20% | 33% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 40% | 36% | ▼ 33% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of APS Bomet vs TransMara Sugar?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished APS Bomet 1:1 TransMara Sugar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before APS Bomet vs TransMara Sugar?
APS Bomet score 1.00 goals per game on average and TransMara Sugar 0.80. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 47% of APS Bomet's matches and 33% of TransMara Sugar's.
What form are APS Bomet and TransMara Sugar in?
Over the last 5 games APS Bomet have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and TransMara Sugar 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for APS Bomet vs TransMara Sugar?
The statistical background for APS Bomet vs TransMara Sugar — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.