Ararat vs Gandzasar: match statistics
Despite the poor form of both teams, Ararat holds the home advantage in this clash between two bottom-table sides. Gandzasar presents a disastrous away disposition with an 88% loss rate and an average of only 0.25 goals per match, failing to win a single away fixture this season. Ararat, although having a 71% home loss rate, possesses better offensive metrics (0.43 vs 0.25 goals/match) and a higher xG (1.38 vs 0.95). The form from the last five matches slightly favors the hosts (0.8 vs 1.0 PPG), and their recent victory may boost their confidence. Gandzasar has recorded only defeats and draws in their last eight away games, which, coupled with the home-field advantage, gives Ararat a realistic chance for a rare win, although a draw also remains probable due to the overall weakness of both teams.
Ararat vs Gandzasar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ararat played Gandzasar in Armenian Premier League (Armenia). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Ararat: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Gandzasar: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ararat scores 0.63 and concedes 2.38 goals per match. Gandzasar scores 0.50 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ararat 38%, Gandzasar 31%. Over 2.5: Ararat 56%, Gandzasar 19%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Ararat has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.09. Ararat: 12.3 shots per match, Gandzasar: 9.3.
Match halves
Ararat: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.38. Gandzasar: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.06.
Goals by minute
Ararat: 76-90+ (3 goals). Gandzasar: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Armenian Premier League: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Despite the poor form of both teams, Ararat holds the home advantage in this clash between two bottom-table sides. Gandzasar presents a disastrous away disposition with an 88% loss rate and an average of only 0.25 goals per match, failing to win a single away fixture this season. Ararat, although having a 71% home loss rate, possesses better offensive metrics (0.43 vs 0.25 goals/match) and a higher xG (1.38 vs 0.95). The form from the last five matches slightly favors the hosts (0.8 vs 1.0 PPG), and their recent victory may boost their confidence. Gandzasar has recorded only defeats and draws in their last eight away games, which, coupled with the home-field advantage, gives Ararat a realistic chance for a rare win, although a draw also remains probable due to the overall weakness of both teams.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ararat | Gandzasar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gandzasar is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Ararat · 1 pts / match - Gandzasar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ararat is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
0.63 goals / match - Ararat · 0.5 goals / match - Gandzasar
Gandzasar is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.38 goals / match - Ararat · 1.19 goals / match - Gandzasar
Ararat scores in 38% of matches (6 of 16 matches), while Gandzasar keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
Gandzasar scores in 44% of matches (7 of 16 matches), while Ararat keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ararat
Over / Under - Gandzasar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gandzasar is 119% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.63 pts / match - Ararat · 1.38 pts / match - Gandzasar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ararat - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 6%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Gandzasar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ararat
Gandzasar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Armenian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ararat | Liga | Gandzasar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.51 | ▼ 1.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 47% | ▼ 31% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 49% | ▼ 19% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 32% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 69% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 79% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ararat 0 - 1 - 0 Gandzasar. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ararat vs Gandzasar?
The Armenian Premier League match finished Ararat 0:2 Gandzasar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ararat vs Gandzasar?
Ararat score 0.63 goals per game on average and Gandzasar 0.50. The Armenian Premier League average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Ararat's matches and 31% of Gandzasar's.
What form are Ararat and Gandzasar in?
Over the last 5 games Ararat have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Gandzasar 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ararat vs Gandzasar?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.