Araz vs Kapaz: match statistics
Araz vs Kapaz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Araz played Kapaz in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 15 May 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Araz: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Kapaz: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Araz scores 1.29 and concedes 1.77 goals per match. Kapaz scores 0.81 and concedes 1.87. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Araz 58%, Kapaz 32%. Over 2.5: Araz 58%, Kapaz 48%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Araz has higher xG: 1.21 vs 1.18. Araz: 9.3 shots per match, Kapaz: 9.8.
Match halves
Araz: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.77. Kapaz: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
Araz: 31-45+ (11 goals). Kapaz: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Araz is the favorite due to superior quality of chances at home: the hosts average 1.2 goals per home match with xG 1.36 and register 3.4 shots on target per game, whereas Kapaz on the road records 0.81 goals with xG 1.09 and 2.31 shots on target. Araz maintains an average 55% possession at home and fails to score in 33% of home matches, while Kapaz have 42% possession away and fail to score in 56% of away games, which limits their offensive potential. Defensively the hosts concede 1.6 goals at home (xG Against 1.52), and Kapaz concede 2.06 goals away (xG Against 1.84), so the visitors are more exposed to conceding. It should be noted, however, Araz’s poor run in the last 5 matches (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses, averaging 0.2 points per game) versus Kapaz’s better recent form in their last 5 (2 wins, averaging 1.2 points per game), which reduces the home advantage. Considering the edge in xG, possession and a lower percentage of scoreless matches for Araz (47% home wins vs 25% away wins for Kapaz), I forecast a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I favor the BTTS - Yes scenario (60% vs 40%) because both teams exhibit clear defensive vulnerabilities: Araz concedes 1.67 goals per match on average, Kapaz 2.06, with clean sheet rates of only 20% and 19% respectively. Season-long BTTS rates are low (Araz 33%, Kapaz 31%), but in the short term Araz had BTTS in 60% of its last 5 matches and Kapaz in 40%, giving weight to recent form trends. Combined attacking xG is around 2.36 (1.27 + 1.09), while combined average goals scored is only 1.61 (0.8 + 0.81), indicating chances are being created on both sides despite low finishing. Hosts average 3.6 shots on target per game versus 2.31 for the visitors, and over the last 5 matches Araz conceded 1.8 goals and Kapaz 1.6, so with low clean sheet rates a both-teams-to-score outcome is realistic. Therefore BTTS = Yes appears the strongest signal: 60% vs 40%, driven mainly by weak defenses and generated xG outweighing seasonally low scoring rates.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and statistical analysis indicate a combined expected goals value around 2.96 (Araz 1.56, Kapaz 1.40), clearly above the league average of 2.53. xG breakdown shows: Araz attack xG 1.27 versus Kapaz defense xG 1.84 — averaging 1.56 for the home side; Kapaz attack xG 1.09 versus Araz defense xG 1.70 — averaging 1.40 for the visitors. Season percentages of matches over 2.5 goals are 40% (Araz) and 56% (Kapaz), while in the last 5 matches Araz have 60% of games over 2.5 goals, which combined with higher xG values increases the probability of Over. Additionally both teams concede frequently: Araz concedes on average 1.67 goals per game, Kapaz 2.06, with at least one goal scored in 100% of home matches and 94% of away matches, boosting the likelihood of more goals. As a result the strongest signal is to back Over 2.5 (side: Over, line: 2.5).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is that Kapaz will lead at the break and win the match (2/2). Hosts Araz were trailing at half-time in 47% of their matches and led at the break in only 13% of games, indicating the visitors are frequently in front after 45 minutes. Kapaz are in better short-term form: across their last 5 matches they have a 40% win rate and average 1.2 points per game, whereas Araz have 0% wins and average 0.2 points; additionally, in second halves Kapaz average 0.5 goals compared to Araz’s 0.4, and over the last 5 second halves they average 1.4 points versus the hosts’ 0.8. Although Araz have a higher xG (1.27 vs 1.09) and more shots on target per game (3.6 vs 2.31), both teams concede a considerable number of goals (Araz 1.7 per game, Kapaz 1.84), which supports the likelihood of the proactive visitors maintaining a lead. In light of these figures the strongest signal is the 2/2 scenario, so I assign it the highest probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Araz | Kapaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kapaz is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Araz · 1.2 pts / match - Kapaz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Araz is 59% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Araz · 0.81 goals / match - Kapaz
Araz is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.77 goals / match - Araz · 1.87 goals / match - Kapaz
Araz scores in 81% of matches (25 of 31 matches), while Kapaz keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 matches).
Kapaz scores in 48% of matches (15 of 31 matches), while Araz keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Araz
Over / Under - Kapaz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Araz is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / match - Araz · 0.77 pts / match - Kapaz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Araz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kapaz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Araz
Kapaz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Araz | Liga | Kapaz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.06 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 44% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 47% | • 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 32% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 64% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 73% | • 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- KapazYellow cardRaul Isaqov
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Araz 2 - 0 - 0 Kapaz. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Araz vs Kapaz?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Araz 2:0 Kapaz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Araz and Kapaz?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Araz won 2, Kapaz won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Araz vs Kapaz?
Araz score 1.29 goals per game on average and Kapaz 0.81. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Araz's matches and 32% of Kapaz's.
What form are Araz and Kapaz in?
Over the last 5 games Araz have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Kapaz 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Araz vs Kapaz?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Araz vs Kapaz: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.