Araz vs Karvan FK: match statistics
Araz appears to be the clear favorite in this matchup. The hosts sit in 5th place in the table with a solid record of 10 wins this season and an impressive 55% home win rate. Karvan FK is in 12th position with just 1 victory all season and a disastrous away form (9% wins, 64% losses). The difference in attacking efficiency is significant - Araz scores an average of 1.27 goals per home game, whereas Karvan manages only 0.73 goals on the road with a 45% failure to score rate. The visitors' away goal difference stands at -13, confirming their vulnerability in away fixtures. Recent form also favors the home side - Araz has picked up 1.2 points per game in their last 5 matches, while Karvan secured a mere 0.4 points, recording a streak of three defeats and two draws.
Araz vs Karvan FK: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Araz played Karvan FK in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 13 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Araz: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Karvan FK: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Araz scores 1.39 and concedes 1.78 goals per match. Karvan FK scores 0.65 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.50 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Araz 57%, Karvan FK 52%. Over 2.5: Araz 57%, Karvan FK 48%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Araz has higher xG: 1.21 vs 0.86. Araz: 9.2 shots per match, Karvan FK: 6.3.
Match halves
Araz: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.87. Karvan FK: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.30.
Goals by minute
Araz: 31-45+ (9 goals). Karvan FK: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.50 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Araz appears to be the clear favorite in this matchup. The hosts sit in 5th place in the table with a solid record of 10 wins this season and an impressive 55% home win rate. Karvan FK is in 12th position with just 1 victory all season and a disastrous away form (9% wins, 64% losses). The difference in attacking efficiency is significant - Araz scores an average of 1.27 goals per home game, whereas Karvan manages only 0.73 goals on the road with a 45% failure to score rate. The visitors' away goal difference stands at -13, confirming their vulnerability in away fixtures. Recent form also favors the home side - Araz has picked up 1.2 points per game in their last 5 matches, while Karvan secured a mere 0.4 points, recording a streak of three defeats and two draws.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Araz | Karvan FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Araz is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Araz · 0.4 pts / match - Karvan FK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Araz is 114% better for: goals scored per match.
1.39 goals / match - Araz · 0.65 goals / match - Karvan FK
Araz is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.78 goals / match - Araz · 2 goals / match - Karvan FK
Araz scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while Karvan FK keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 23 matches).
Karvan FK scores in 52% of matches (12 of 23 matches), while Araz keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Araz
Over / Under - Karvan FK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Araz is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Araz · 0.96 pts / match - Karvan FK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Araz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Karvan FK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 4%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Araz
Karvan FK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Araz | Liga | Karvan FK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.17 | 2.50 | ▲ 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 43% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 46% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 34% | ▼ 4% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 65% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 71% | • 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Araz 2 - 0 - 0 Karvan FK. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Araz vs Karvan FK?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Araz 2:1 Karvan FK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Araz and Karvan FK?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Araz won 2, Karvan FK won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Araz vs Karvan FK?
Araz score 1.39 goals per game on average and Karvan FK 0.65. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Araz's matches and 52% of Karvan FK's.
What form are Araz and Karvan FK in?
Over the last 5 games Araz have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Karvan FK 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Araz vs Karvan FK?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.