Araz vs Neftçi: match statistics
Araz displays impressive home form with a 63% win rate at home and a goal difference of +3, making them the favorite in this encounter. The hosts have won 3 of their last 4 home matches, scoring an average of 1.63 goals per game. Neftçi has a solid away defense (50% clean sheets), but struggles offensively – as many as 50% of their away matches end without a goal scored, with an average of just 1 goal per game. The visitors' recent form is concerning (only 1 point per game in their last 5 matches), while Araz collects 1.4 points. Considering the hosts' offensive efficiency advantage (xG 1.39 vs 1.36) and Neftçi's weaker form, I expect an Araz victory, although a draw is also realistic due to the visitors' defensive solidity.
Araz vs Neftçi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Araz play Neftçi in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match date is 1 February 2026 at 13:00. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
Araz: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Neftçi: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Araz scores 1.36 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. Neftçi scores 1.73 and concedes 0.97. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Araz 58%, Neftçi 48%. Over 2.5: Araz 58%, Neftçi 55%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Neftçi has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.24. Araz: 9.6 shots per match, Neftçi: 12.8.
Match halves
Araz: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.79. Neftçi: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.06.
Goals by minute
Araz: 31-45+ (13 goals). Neftçi: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Araz displays impressive home form with a 63% win rate at home and a goal difference of +3, making them the favorite in this encounter. The hosts have won 3 of their last 4 home matches, scoring an average of 1.63 goals per game. Neftçi has a solid away defense (50% clean sheets), but struggles offensively – as many as 50% of their away matches end without a goal scored, with an average of just 1 goal per game. The visitors' recent form is concerning (only 1 point per game in their last 5 matches), while Araz collects 1.4 points. Considering the hosts' offensive efficiency advantage (xG 1.39 vs 1.36) and Neftçi's weaker form, I expect an Araz victory, although a draw is also realistic due to the visitors' defensive solidity.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Araz | Neftçi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Neftçi is 114% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Araz · 3 pts / match - Neftçi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftçi is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.36 goals / match - Araz · 1.73 goals / match - Neftçi
Neftçi is 78% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.73 goals / match - Araz · 0.97 goals / match - Neftçi
Araz scores in 82% of matches (27 of 33 matches), while Neftçi keeps a clean sheet in 39% (13 of 33 matches).
Neftçi scores in 73% of matches (24 of 33 matches), while Araz keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Araz
Over / Under — Neftçi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neftçi is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Araz · 1.48 pts / match - Neftçi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Araz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Neftçi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Araz
Neftçi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Araz | Liga | Neftçi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.09 | 2.58 | ▲ 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 46% | ▲ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 48% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 31% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 65% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 74% | • 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Araz 0 - 1 - 1 Neftçi. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Araz vs Neftçi?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Araz 0:4 Neftçi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Araz and Neftçi?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Araz won 0, Neftçi won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Araz vs Neftçi?
Araz score 1.36 goals per game on average and Neftçi 1.73. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Araz's matches and 48% of Neftçi's.
What form are Araz and Neftçi in?
Over the last 5 games Araz have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Neftçi 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Araz vs Neftçi?
The statistical background for Araz vs Neftçi — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.