Araz vs Zira: match statistics
The match promises to be very evenly contested, suggesting high potential for a draw. Araz presents solid home form with 60% of matches won at home and a goal difference of 0, yet their last five overall matches show instability (2 losses, 3 wins). Zira, as the visitor, holds a 40% win rate away, a better average of shots on target (4.1 vs 3.4), and higher possession (56% vs 53%), but has dropped points more frequently in recent matches (1.4 PPG). Both teams share an identical average of goals conceded in their respective arenas (1.4) and similar xG values, indicating a balance of power. Given the high draw rates for both teams (20% for Araz at home, 30% for Zira away) and their recent forms, a draw seems the most likely result, although the hosts' slight psychological advantage of playing before their own crowd gives them minimally higher chances of winning.
Araz vs Zira: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Araz played Zira in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 27 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Araz: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Zira: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Araz scores 1.52 and concedes 1.62 goals per match. Zira scores 1.33 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Araz 62%, Zira 52%. Over 2.5: Araz 57%, Zira 43%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Zira has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.25. Araz: 9.5 shots per match, Zira: 10.7.
Match halves
Araz: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.95. Zira: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Araz: 31-45+ (9 goals). Zira: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very evenly contested, suggesting high potential for a draw. Araz presents solid home form with 60% of matches won at home and a goal difference of 0, yet their last five overall matches show instability (2 losses, 3 wins). Zira, as the visitor, holds a 40% win rate away, a better average of shots on target (4.1 vs 3.4), and higher possession (56% vs 53%), but has dropped points more frequently in recent matches (1.4 PPG). Both teams share an identical average of goals conceded in their respective arenas (1.4) and similar xG values, indicating a balance of power. Given the high draw rates for both teams (20% for Araz at home, 30% for Zira away) and their recent forms, a draw seems the most likely result, although the hosts' slight psychological advantage of playing before their own crowd gives them minimally higher chances of winning.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Araz | Zira | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Araz is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Araz · 1.4 pts / match - Zira
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Araz is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.52 goals / match - Araz · 1.33 goals / match - Zira
Zira is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.62 goals / match - Araz · 1.05 goals / match - Zira
Araz scores in 90% of matches (19 of 21 matches), while Zira keeps a clean sheet in 38% (8 of 21 matches).
Zira scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Araz keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Araz
Over / Under - Zira
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Zira is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Araz · 1.67 pts / match - Zira
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Araz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Zira - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 43%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Araz
Zira
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Araz | Liga | Zira | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.14 | 2.44 | • 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 42% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 46% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 34% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 67% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 71% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Araz 0 - 1 - 0 Zira. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Araz vs Zira?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Araz 0:1 Zira. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Araz vs Zira?
Araz score 1.52 goals per game on average and Zira 1.33. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Araz's matches and 52% of Zira's.
What form are Araz and Zira in?
Over the last 5 games Araz have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Zira 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Araz vs Zira?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Araz vs Zira: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.