Arba Minch Kenema vs Dire Dawa Kenema: match statistics
Arba Minch Kenema occupies the last, 20th place in the table with a catastrophic home record: 0% home wins, 75% of matches without scoring, and a goal difference of -7. The hosts have scored just 3 goals in 8 home matches, averaging 0.38 goals per game. Dire Dawa Kenema, despite their 11th position, looks much more solid away: 25% wins, 50% draws, and an impressive 50% clean sheets. The guests have better form in the last 5 matches (1.2 points per match) compared to the hosts (0.8 points). Considering Arba Minch's dramatic weakness in attack and Dire Dawa's defensive solidity on the road, I expect a victory for the guests or a draw, with a slight edge for the visiting team.
Arba Minch Kenema vs Dire Dawa Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Arba Minch Kenema played Dire Dawa Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 6 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Arba Minch Kenema: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Dire Dawa Kenema: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Arba Minch Kenema scores 0.50 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Dire Dawa Kenema scores 0.61 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Arba Minch Kenema 39%, Dire Dawa Kenema 28%. Over 2.5: Arba Minch Kenema 22%, Dire Dawa Kenema 28%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 26%.
xG, shots and style
Arba Minch Kenema has higher xG: 1.07 vs 1.01. Arba Minch Kenema: 6.2 shots per match, Dire Dawa Kenema: 6.8.
Match halves
Arba Minch Kenema: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.28. Dire Dawa Kenema: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Arba Minch Kenema: 46-60 (3 goals). Dire Dawa Kenema: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.70 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 26%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Arba Minch Kenema occupies the last, 20th place in the table with a catastrophic home record: 0% home wins, 75% of matches without scoring, and a goal difference of -7. The hosts have scored just 3 goals in 8 home matches, averaging 0.38 goals per game. Dire Dawa Kenema, despite their 11th position, looks much more solid away: 25% wins, 50% draws, and an impressive 50% clean sheets. The guests have better form in the last 5 matches (1.2 points per match) compared to the hosts (0.8 points). Considering Arba Minch's dramatic weakness in attack and Dire Dawa's defensive solidity on the road, I expect a victory for the guests or a draw, with a slight edge for the visiting team.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Arba Minch Kenema | Dire Dawa Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dire Dawa Kenema is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 1.2 pts / match - Dire Dawa Kenema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dire Dawa Kenema is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
0.5 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 0.61 goals / match - Dire Dawa Kenema
Dire Dawa Kenema is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 1 goals / match - Dire Dawa Kenema
Arba Minch Kenema scores in 39% of matches (7 of 18 matches), while Dire Dawa Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 matches).
Dire Dawa Kenema scores in 39% of matches (7 of 18 matches), while Arba Minch Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arba Minch Kenema
Over / Under - Dire Dawa Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arba Minch Kenema is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 0.83 pts / match - Dire Dawa Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arba Minch Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 6%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Dire Dawa Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Arba Minch Kenema
Dire Dawa Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Arba Minch Kenema | Liga | Dire Dawa Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.67 | 1.70 | • 1.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 41% | ▼ 28% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 26% | ▲ 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 28% | 41% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Arba Minch Kenema vs Dire Dawa Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Arba Minch Kenema 1:1 Dire Dawa Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arba Minch Kenema vs Dire Dawa Kenema?
Arba Minch Kenema score 0.50 goals per game on average and Dire Dawa Kenema 0.61. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Arba Minch Kenema's matches and 28% of Dire Dawa Kenema's.
What form are Arba Minch Kenema and Dire Dawa Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Arba Minch Kenema have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Dire Dawa Kenema 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arba Minch Kenema vs Dire Dawa Kenema?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Arba Minch Kenema vs Dire Dawa Kenema: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.