Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopian Medhin: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to an even contest between two teams from the lower regions of the table. Arba Minch Kenema sits in last place (20th) and has not won a single home game this season (0% Win%), recording a massive 55% loss rate at their own stadium and a -10 goal difference. Ethiopian Medhin is placed slightly higher in 19th position and demonstrates better away form - a 27% away win rate, a superior shot conversion rate (12% vs 9%), and more shots on target per match (3.18 vs 1.8). The recent form of both teams over their last five matches is quite similar, however - the hosts with 1.6 PPG, and the visitors with 1.2 PPG. Taking into account the hosts' weakness in front of their home crowd, as well as the visitors' moderate offensive capabilities (0.91 goals/match away), a draw in a low-scoring encounter seems the most probable scenario.
Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopian Medhin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Arba Minch Kenema played Ethiopian Medhin in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Arba Minch Kenema: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Ethiopian Medhin: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Arba Minch Kenema scores 0.70 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Ethiopian Medhin scores 0.73 and concedes 0.82. League average: 1.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Arba Minch Kenema 43%, Ethiopian Medhin 41%. Over 2.5: Arba Minch Kenema 22%, Ethiopian Medhin 27%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 26%.
xG, shots and style
Ethiopian Medhin has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.15. Arba Minch Kenema: 6.9 shots per match, Ethiopian Medhin: 7.2.
Match halves
Arba Minch Kenema: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.35. Ethiopian Medhin: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.23.
Goals by minute
Arba Minch Kenema: 46-60 (4 goals). Ethiopian Medhin: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.75 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 26%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to an even contest between two teams from the lower regions of the table. Arba Minch Kenema sits in last place (20th) and has not won a single home game this season (0% Win%), recording a massive 55% loss rate at their own stadium and a -10 goal difference. Ethiopian Medhin is placed slightly higher in 19th position and demonstrates better away form - a 27% away win rate, a superior shot conversion rate (12% vs 9%), and more shots on target per match (3.18 vs 1.8). The recent form of both teams over their last five matches is quite similar, however - the hosts with 1.6 PPG, and the visitors with 1.2 PPG. Taking into account the hosts' weakness in front of their home crowd, as well as the visitors' moderate offensive capabilities (0.91 goals/match away), a draw in a low-scoring encounter seems the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Arba Minch Kenema | Ethiopian Medhin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Arba Minch Kenema is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 1.2 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopian Medhin is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 0.82 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin
Arba Minch Kenema scores in 52% of matches (12 of 23 matches), while Ethiopian Medhin keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
Ethiopian Medhin scores in 45% of matches (10 of 22 matches), while Arba Minch Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arba Minch Kenema
Over / Under - Ethiopian Medhin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ethiopian Medhin is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 1.23 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arba Minch Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ethiopian Medhin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Arba Minch Kenema
Ethiopian Medhin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Arba Minch Kenema | Liga | Ethiopian Medhin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.87 | 1.75 | ▼ 1.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 43% | 41% | • 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 26% | • 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 40% | ▼ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 61% | 53% | ▲ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 52% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Ethiopian MedhinGoalWogene Gezahegn
- Ethiopian MedhinAssistYared Moges
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Arba Minch Kenema 0 - 1 - 0 Ethiopian Medhin. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopian Medhin?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Arba Minch Kenema 0:2 Ethiopian Medhin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopian Medhin?
Arba Minch Kenema score 0.70 goals per game on average and Ethiopian Medhin 0.73. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Arba Minch Kenema's matches and 41% of Ethiopian Medhin's.
What form are Arba Minch Kenema and Ethiopian Medhin in?
Over the last 5 games Arba Minch Kenema have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Ethiopian Medhin 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopian Medhin?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.