Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelakeya: match statistics
Arba Minch Kenema is in a dire situation at the bottom of the table in 20th place, having not won a single match this season and scoring just 5 goals while conceding 14. The hosts have catastrophic home form with a 0% win rate, failing to score in 83% of matches, and averaging just 0.17 goals per home game. Mekelakeya occupies a solid 7th place with a 19:15 record and impressive away performance—43% wins and 1.71 goals on average per match. The visitors hold a clear advantage in offensive statistics: 4 shots on target per match vs 1.4 for the hosts, and a much better conversion rate (18% vs 4%). The difference in quality between the two teams, confirmed by goal difference (+4 for the visitors, -4 for the hosts) and form, indicates a clear advantage for Mekelakeya, although the visitors' weaker recent run (0.8 PPG) may complicate a certain victory.
Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelakeya: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Arba Minch Kenema played Mekelakeya in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Arba Minch Kenema: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Mekelakeya: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Arba Minch Kenema scores 0.36 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Mekelakeya scores 1.27 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Arba Minch Kenema 36%, Mekelakeya 53%. Over 2.5: Arba Minch Kenema 14%, Mekelakeya 40%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Mekelakeya has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.06. Arba Minch Kenema: 5.6 shots per match, Mekelakeya: 9.4.
Match halves
Arba Minch Kenema: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.14. Mekelakeya: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Arba Minch Kenema: 0-15 (2 goals). Mekelakeya: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.71 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Arba Minch Kenema is in a dire situation at the bottom of the table in 20th place, having not won a single match this season and scoring just 5 goals while conceding 14. The hosts have catastrophic home form with a 0% win rate, failing to score in 83% of matches, and averaging just 0.17 goals per home game. Mekelakeya occupies a solid 7th place with a 19:15 record and impressive away performance—43% wins and 1.71 goals on average per match. The visitors hold a clear advantage in offensive statistics: 4 shots on target per match vs 1.4 for the hosts, and a much better conversion rate (18% vs 4%). The difference in quality between the two teams, confirmed by goal difference (+4 for the visitors, -4 for the hosts) and form, indicates a clear advantage for Mekelakeya, although the visitors' weaker recent run (0.8 PPG) may complicate a certain victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Arba Minch Kenema | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mekelakeya is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 0.8 pts / match - Mekelakeya
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelakeya is 253% better for: goals scored per match.
0.36 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 1.27 goals / match - Mekelakeya
Arba Minch Kenema scores in 36% of matches (5 of 14 matches), while Mekelakeya keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 matches).
Mekelakeya scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Arba Minch Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arba Minch Kenema
Over / Under - Mekelakeya
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelakeya is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 1.6 pts / match - Mekelakeya
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arba Minch Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mekelakeya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Arba Minch Kenema
Mekelakeya
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Arba Minch Kenema | Liga | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.36 | 1.71 | ▲ 2.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 42% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 14% | 27% | ▲ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 36% | 40% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 43% | 57% | ▲ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- MekelakeyaGoalChernet Gugsa Beshah
FAQ
What was the result of Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelakeya?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Arba Minch Kenema 0:2 Mekelakeya. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelakeya?
Arba Minch Kenema score 0.36 goals per game on average and Mekelakeya 1.27. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Arba Minch Kenema's matches and 53% of Mekelakeya's.
What form are Arba Minch Kenema and Mekelakeya in?
Over the last 5 games Arba Minch Kenema have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Mekelakeya 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelakeya?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelakeya: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.