Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelle Kenema: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Arba Minch Kenema played Mekelle Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 24 December 2025. Final score: 0:2.

Current form

Arba Minch Kenema: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Mekelle Kenema: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Arba Minch Kenema scores 0.50 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Mekelle Kenema scores 1.00 and concedes 1.60. League average: 1.80 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Arba Minch Kenema 50%, Mekelle Kenema 70%. Over 2.5: Arba Minch Kenema 20%, Mekelle Kenema 60%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 29%.

xG, shots and style

Mekelle Kenema has higher xG: 1.21 vs 1.12. Arba Minch Kenema: 6.1 shots per match, Mekelle Kenema: 7.1.

Match halves

Arba Minch Kenema: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.20. Mekelle Kenema: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.40.

Goals by minute

Arba Minch Kenema: 0-15 (2 goals). Mekelle Kenema: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.80 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 29%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

61Possession (%)39
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
4Shots8
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
1Shots on target4
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
0.99xG1.3
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
3Corners1
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
90Dangerous attacks71
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
12Fouls8
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
0Cards0
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
0.5Goals scored / match1
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
1.2Goals conceded / match1.6
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
48%Average possession50%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
1.7Shots on target / match3.2
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.1Shots per match7.1
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
1.7Shots on target3.2
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
8.2%Shot conversion14.1%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
48%Possession50%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
1.12xG for1.21
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
1.26xG against1.21
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema

Shooting quality

Arba Minch Kenema: BalancedMekelle Kenema: Efficient finishing
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
Accuracy (shots on target)28%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.17
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mekelle Kenema is 50% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 0.6 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema

Arba Minch Kenema
LDLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W50% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-5-5
0.50 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-2
Last 5 at home
0-2-2
DLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Mekelle Kenema
DDLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W50% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-5-5
0.50 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-3
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LLDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.01Opponent xG: 1.07BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mekelle Kenema is 100% better for: goals scored per match.

0.5 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 1 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema

Arba Minch Kenema is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.2 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 1.6 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema

Arba Minch Kenema scoring profile: strong

Arba Minch Kenema scores in 50% of matches (5 of 10 matches), while Mekelle Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).

Mekelle Kenema scoring profile: very strong

Mekelle Kenema scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Arba Minch Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).

5Goals scored (season)10
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
12Goals conceded (season)16
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
1.7Average goals in match2.6
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
2Goals scored (last 5)4
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal70%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
0%2 goals30%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
0%3 goals0%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
0%4 goals0%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal90%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
20%2 goals60%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
20%3 goals10%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
0%4 goals0%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
Arba Minch Kenema - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.5 of 10 matches
45%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time30%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
0%BTTS in both halves10%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
0%Scored in both halves30%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema

BTTS and goal count

20%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
40%BTTS - last 560%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
10%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
30%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mekelle Kenema is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.1 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 1.3 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema

Arba Minch Kenema - half-time state
20% leading50% draw30% trailing
Mekelle Kenema - half-time state
30% leading40% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.1Points per match (1st half)1.3
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
0.3Goals scored (1st half)0.6
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
0.4Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
0.7Average goals (1st half)1.2
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
60%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
70%No goal before half-time40%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema

After half-time (2nd half)

0.6Points per match (2nd half)0.8
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
0.2Goals scored (2nd half)0.4
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
0.8Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
1Average goals (2nd half)1.4
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
50%Clean sheet after half-time40%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
80%No goal after half-time60%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema

Arba Minch Kenema - second-half results

0% W60% R40% P
11
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.10
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Mekelle Kenema - second-half results

10% W50% R40% P
13
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Arba Minch Kenema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.40
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.61.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-1-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Mekelle Kenema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.80
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.81.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Arba Minch Kenema
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Mekelle Kenema
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
3
3
16-30
2
2
31-45
1
3
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.15
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
119%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
35%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
15%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Arba Minch Kenema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.56
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.62
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
53%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
140%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 40% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Mekelle Kenema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.60
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
170%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Arba Minch KenemaLigaMekelle Kenema
Average goals in match 1.701.80 2.60
Both teams scored 50%45% 70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 20%29% 60%
Clean sheets 20%37% 10%
Goal before half-time 60%57% 80%
Goal after half-time 50%59% 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.80
Average goals per match
45%
Both teams scored
29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
0.94
Home goals / match
0.86
Away goals / match
+9%
Home attack advantage
+9%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
57%
1 goal
23%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
23%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelle Kenema?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Arba Minch Kenema 0:2 Mekelle Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelle Kenema?

Arba Minch Kenema score 0.50 goals per game on average and Mekelle Kenema 1.00. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Arba Minch Kenema's matches and 70% of Mekelle Kenema's.

What form are Arba Minch Kenema and Mekelle Kenema in?

Over the last 5 games Arba Minch Kenema have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Mekelle Kenema 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelle Kenema?

The statistical background for Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelle Kenema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.