Arba Minch Kenema vs Welayta Dicha: match statistics
Arba Minch Kenema vs Welayta Dicha: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Arba Minch Kenema play Welayta Dicha in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 10 May 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Arba Minch Kenema: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Welayta Dicha: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Arba Minch Kenema scores 0.79 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Welayta Dicha scores 0.97 and concedes 0.82. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Arba Minch Kenema 42%, Welayta Dicha 45%. Over 2.5: Arba Minch Kenema 29%, Welayta Dicha 26%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Welayta Dicha has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.12. Arba Minch Kenema: 7.3 shots per match, Welayta Dicha: 8.6.
Match halves
Arba Minch Kenema: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.39. Welayta Dicha: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Arba Minch Kenema: 31-45+ (8 goals). Welayta Dicha: 61-75 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Welayta Dicha is the favorite in this match: they sit 9th in the table versus Arba Minch Kenema at 20th and have a superior goal difference 29:27 compared to 23:34. Defensively the visitors are stronger — they concede on average 0.8 goals away versus 1.4 conceded by Arba in home matches, and in the last 5 fixtures Welayta conceded 1 goal versus 4 conceded by Arba. In chance-creation Welayta records higher xG (1.29 away versus 1.09 xG for the hosts) and more shots on target (2.87 vs 1.79), although Arba’s conversion rate is 9% versus 8% for the visitors. Arba have serious issues at home — they average just 0.53 goals per match and have not won at home (home win percentage 0%), and they failed to score in 60% of home games, while Welayta failed to score in 40% of away trips. Considering form (average points in the last 5 matches 2.0 for Welayta vs 1.2 for Arba), higher xG and better defensive organisation, I predict an away victory, though the high draw rates for both teams (47% home draws for the hosts and 47% draws for the visitors away) increases the risk of a share of points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Arba Minch Kenema | Welayta Dicha | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Welayta Dicha is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 1.6 pts / match - Welayta Dicha
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Welayta Dicha is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
0.79 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 0.97 goals / match - Welayta Dicha
Welayta Dicha is 48% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 0.82 goals / match - Welayta Dicha
Arba Minch Kenema scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Welayta Dicha keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).
Welayta Dicha scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Arba Minch Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Arba Minch Kenema
Over / Under — Welayta Dicha
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Welayta Dicha is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 1.13 pts / match - Welayta Dicha
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arba Minch Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Welayta Dicha - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Arba Minch Kenema
Welayta Dicha
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Arba Minch Kenema | Liga | Welayta Dicha | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.00 | 1.78 | • 1.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 42% | 40% | ▲ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 29% | 28% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 40% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 56% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | • 58% | 59% | ▲ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Arba Minch Kenema 0 - 1 - 0 Welayta Dicha. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Arba Minch Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Arba Minch Kenema 2:3 Welayta Dicha. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arba Minch Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?
Arba Minch Kenema score 0.79 goals per game on average and Welayta Dicha 0.97. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Arba Minch Kenema's matches and 45% of Welayta Dicha's.
What form are Arba Minch Kenema and Welayta Dicha in?
Over the last 5 games Arba Minch Kenema have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Welayta Dicha 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arba Minch Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.