Arbroath vs Greenock Morton: match statistics
Arbroath presents decidedly better home form with 50% wins and just 10% losses at their own stadium, while Greenock Morton has won only 18% of away matches. The hosts have a positive goal difference of +5 in home matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals with an xG of 1.46, whereas the visitors have recorded a negative balance of -4 on away trips with just 1.09 goals on average and an xG of 0.99. Form from the last five matches also speaks for Arbroath - 1.6 points per match compared to a catastrophic 0.2 points for Morton, who has lost four of the last five meetings, conceding as many as 14 goals. Higher scoring efficiency for the hosts (13% vs 15%), better average of shots on target (3.9 vs 2.36), and a more solid defense in home matches (1.1 vs 1.45 goals conceded) further confirm Arbroath's advantage. Considering all statistics, a home victory is the most probable scenario for this clash.
Arbroath vs Greenock Morton: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Arbroath played Greenock Morton in Championship (Scotland). The match was played on 23 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Arbroath: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Greenock Morton: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Arbroath scores 1.36 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Greenock Morton scores 0.95 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.50 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Arbroath 55%, Greenock Morton 57%. Over 2.5: Arbroath 50%, Greenock Morton 38%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Arbroath has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.13. Arbroath: 10.8 shots per match, Greenock Morton: 9.1.
Match halves
Arbroath: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.95. Greenock Morton: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Arbroath: 46-60 (7 goals). Greenock Morton: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.50 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Arbroath presents decidedly better home form with 50% wins and just 10% losses at their own stadium, while Greenock Morton has won only 18% of away matches. The hosts have a positive goal difference of +5 in home matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals with an xG of 1.46, whereas the visitors have recorded a negative balance of -4 on away trips with just 1.09 goals on average and an xG of 0.99. Form from the last five matches also speaks for Arbroath - 1.6 points per match compared to a catastrophic 0.2 points for Morton, who has lost four of the last five meetings, conceding as many as 14 goals. Higher scoring efficiency for the hosts (13% vs 15%), better average of shots on target (3.9 vs 2.36), and a more solid defense in home matches (1.1 vs 1.45 goals conceded) further confirm Arbroath's advantage. Considering all statistics, a home victory is the most probable scenario for this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Arbroath | Greenock Morton | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Arbroath is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Arbroath · 0.8 pts / match - Greenock Morton
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arbroath is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
1.36 goals / match - Arbroath · 0.95 goals / match - Greenock Morton
Arbroath is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.23 goals / match - Arbroath · 1.33 goals / match - Greenock Morton
Arbroath scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Greenock Morton keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
Greenock Morton scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Arbroath keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arbroath
Over / Under - Greenock Morton
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Greenock Morton is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Arbroath · 1.33 pts / match - Greenock Morton
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arbroath - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Greenock Morton - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 19%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Arbroath
Greenock Morton
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Arbroath | Liga | Greenock Morton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.59 | 2.50 | ▼ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 50% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 46% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 31% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 70% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 71% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Arbroath 0 - 1 - 1 Greenock Morton. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Arbroath vs Greenock Morton?
The Championship match finished Arbroath 1:1 Greenock Morton. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Arbroath and Greenock Morton?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Arbroath won 0, Greenock Morton won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Arbroath vs Greenock Morton?
Arbroath score 1.36 goals per game on average and Greenock Morton 0.95. The Championship average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Arbroath's matches and 57% of Greenock Morton's.
What form are Arbroath and Greenock Morton in?
Over the last 5 games Arbroath have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Greenock Morton 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arbroath vs Greenock Morton?
The statistical background for Arbroath vs Greenock Morton — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.