Arda vs Botev Plovdiv: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Arda vs Botev Plovdiv: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Arda play Botev Plovdiv in First League (Bulgaria). The match date is 4 September 2026.
Current form
Arda: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Botev Plovdiv: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Arda scores 1.57 and concedes 0.57 goals per match. Botev Plovdiv scores 1.14 and concedes 1.71. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Arda 43%, Botev Plovdiv 57%. Over 2.5: Arda 29%, Botev Plovdiv 43%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Botev Plovdiv has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.35. Arda: 9.1 shots per match, Botev Plovdiv: 10.1.
Match halves
Arda: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.86. Botev Plovdiv: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Arda: 16-30 (3 goals). Botev Plovdiv: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 25%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Arda | Botev Plovdiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 56% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Arda is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Arda · 1.2 pts / match - Botev Plovdiv
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arda is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.57 goals / match - Arda · 1.14 goals / match - Botev Plovdiv
Arda is 200% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.57 goals / match - Arda · 1.71 goals / match - Botev Plovdiv
Arda scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Botev Plovdiv keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
Botev Plovdiv scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Arda keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arda
Over / Under - Botev Plovdiv
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arda is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.86 pts / match - Arda · 1.29 pts / match - Botev Plovdiv
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Botev Plovdiv - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Arda
Botev Plovdiv
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Arda | Liga | Botev Plovdiv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.14 | 2.74 | ▲ 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 55% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 53% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 57% | 23% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 68% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 83% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Arda 2 - 1 - 1 Botev Plovdiv. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
When do Arda and Botev Plovdiv play?
Arda face Botev Plovdiv on 4 September 2026 in First League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Arda and Botev Plovdiv?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Arda won 2, Botev Plovdiv won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Arda vs Botev Plovdiv?
Arda score 1.57 goals per game on average and Botev Plovdiv 1.14. The First League average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Arda's matches and 57% of Botev Plovdiv's.
What form are Arda and Botev Plovdiv in?
Over the last 5 games Arda have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Botev Plovdiv 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arda vs Botev Plovdiv?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.