Arda vs Ludogorets: match statistics
Arda vs Ludogorets: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Arda play Ludogorets in First League (Bulgaria). The match date is 15 April 2026 at 19:30. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Arda: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Ludogorets: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Arda scores 1.17 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Ludogorets scores 1.65 and concedes 0.68. League average: 2.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Arda 28%, Ludogorets 38%. Over 2.5: Arda 36%, Ludogorets 43%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Ludogorets has higher xG: 1.99 vs 1.42. Arda: 10.9 shots per match, Ludogorets: 15.8.
Match halves
Arda: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.56. Ludogorets: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.11.
Goals by minute
Arda: 76-90+ (9 goals). Ludogorets: 76-90+ (21 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.30 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
The favorite is Ludogorets — the visitors sit 2nd and average 2.07 goals scored and 0.71 conceded on the road, while Arda at home average 1.00 scored and 0.86 conceded. The visitors show higher efficiency: 5.64 shots on target and 14.14 shots overall away with a 15% conversion rate, versus Arda’s 4.5 on target, 13.64 overall and 7% conversion; season totals are 57 goals for Ludogorets versus 32 for Arda. In the last 5 matches Ludogorets scored 14 goals with a record of 4 wins and 1 draw, while Arda scored 8 with 3 wins and 2 losses; points per game in the last 5 are 2.6 for Ludogorets and 1.8 for Arda. Defensive metrics also favor the visitors: only 19 goals conceded this season, 64% of away matches with a clean sheet and average xG against 1.02, versus Arda’s 27 conceded, 43% home clean sheets and xG against 1.13. Considering better conversion (15% vs 7%), lower share of matches without a goal (21% vs 43%), higher xG (1.86 vs 1.72) and current form, I back an away win; probability distribution: 65% Ludogorets, 20% draw and 15% Arda.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Arda | Ludogorets | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Arda is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Arda · 1.6 pts / match - Ludogorets
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ludogorets is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Arda · 1.65 goals / match - Ludogorets
Ludogorets is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - Arda · 0.68 goals / match - Ludogorets
Arda scores in 53% of matches (19 of 36 matches), while Ludogorets keeps a clean sheet in 54% (20 of 37 matches).
Ludogorets scores in 76% of matches (28 of 37 matches), while Arda keeps a clean sheet in 42% (15 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Arda
Over / Under — Ludogorets
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ludogorets is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / match - Arda · 1.35 pts / match - Ludogorets
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ludogorets - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 51%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (21 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +16 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Arda
Ludogorets
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Arda | Liga | Ludogorets | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.11 | 2.30 | • 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 28% | 43% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 43% | • 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 35% | ▲ 54% |
| Goal before half-time | • 64% | 63% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 74% | • 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Arda 1 - 0 - 0 Ludogorets. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Arda vs Ludogorets?
The First League match finished Arda 1:0 Ludogorets. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arda vs Ludogorets?
Arda score 1.17 goals per game on average and Ludogorets 1.65. The First League average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 28% of Arda's matches and 38% of Ludogorets's.
What form are Arda and Ludogorets in?
Over the last 5 games Arda have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Ludogorets 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arda vs Ludogorets?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Arda vs Ludogorets: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.